Bohemians 1905 vs Hradec Králové Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Bohemians 1905 0-0 Hradec Králové.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Bohemians 1905, 24% draw, 29% Hradec Králové — fair odds of 2.13, 4.17 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Bohemians 1905 at 47% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Bohemians 1905 vs Hradec Králové
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 23T. FruhwaldG
- 24M. HavelD
- 27D. LischkaD
- 3M. KadlecD
- 32P. MirvaldM
- 6B. SakalaM
- 42V. SmrzM
- 37D. JavorcekM
- 16R. KvetF
- 99L. AlmasiF
- 11V. PilarF
- 12M. ReichlG
- 71J. SimanG
- 19J. KovarikM
- 22J. VondraD
- 8D. HeidenreichD
- 13V. ZemanF
- 66O. MikudaM
- 70S. Cerny
- 10J. MatousekF
- 12A. ZadrazilG
- 5F. CihakD
- 4T. PetrasekD
- 25F. CechD
- 28J. KuceraM
- 16V. DaridaM
- 9M. ValentaM
- 26D. HorakM
- 27D. TrubacF
- 19T. SloncikF
- 17O. MihalikF
- 1P. VizekG
- 20M. VagnerG
- 2D. LudvicekD
- 14J. HodekF
- 7J. UhrincatD
- 6E. NetoM
- 10M. van BurenF
- 11S. DancakM
- 18M. RegzaF
Form going into Bohemians 1905 vs Hradec Králové
Bohemians 1905
- L1-3away to Teplice25 July 2026
Hradec Králové
- W3-1Tromso30 July 2026
- W2-1Pardubice26 July 2026
- W1-0away to Tromso23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bohemians 1905 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 |
| 6 | Hradec Králové | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Bohemians 1905 vs Hradec Králové
- 2 August 2026Bohemians 1905 0–0 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
- 5 April 2026Hradec Králové 2–0 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
- 2 November 2025Bohemians 1905 1–2 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
- 25 May 2025Hradec Králové 2–0 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
- 18 May 2025Bohemians 1905 1–0 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
- 16 February 2025Hradec Králové 2–2 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
Leading scorers: Bohemians 1905 and Hradec Králové
Bohemians 1905
- L. Almási3 goals
Hradec Králové
- T. Slončík3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.