2 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Pardubice vs FK Jablonec Czech Liga prediction & result

Stadion Arnosta Kostala, Pardubice
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Pardubice 0-2 FK Jablonec.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Pardubice, 27% draw, 27% FK Jablonec — fair odds of 2.17, 3.70 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Pardubice at 46% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

19'
⚽M. Icha (OG)
Jason Noslin
43'
45'
⚽J. Chramostaassist: J. Suchan
🔁E. Godwinout: G. Botos
46'
🔁V. Drchalout: D. Smekal
56'
57'
🔁J. Chramostaout: L. Jawo
🔁M. Hlavatyout: S. Simek
66'
🔁V. Patrakout: V. Samuel
66'
72'
🔁J. Suchanout: F. Zorvan
72'
🔁S. Nebylaout: N. Okeke
🔁M. Ichaout: J. Tredl
74'
83'
🔁A. Rusekout: M. Polidar
83'
🔁D. Soucekout: M. Cedidla
88'
Lamin Jawo

Match stats — Pardubice vs FK Jablonec

58%Possession42%
22Shots4
2On target2
8Corners0
2.67xG0.61

Goals against chances

Pardubice0 from 2.67 xGless than the chances were worth
FK Jablonec2 from 0.61 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Pardubice 3-4-2-1
  • 1J. SerakG
  • 43J. NoslinD
  • 44S. BammensD
  • 6M. IchaD
  • 15E. GodwinM
  • 16T. JelinekM
  • 19M. HlavatyM
  • 40T. BoledovicM
  • 20A. TankoF
  • 17V. DrchalF
  • 10V. PatrakF
Substitutes
  • 30A. MandousG
  • 9D. SmekalF
  • 90G. BotosM
  • 18S. MisekM
  • 29J. HamzaD
  • 24T. SolilM
  • 8S. SimekM
  • 25R. MahutaD
  • 12J. TredlD
Coach: Jan Trousil
FK Jablonec 3-4-1-2
  • 99K. MihelakG
  • 15D. PavlovicD
  • 4N. TekijaskiD
  • 57F. NovakD
  • 14D. SoucekM
  • 13R. SedlacekM
  • 25S. NebylaM
  • 7V. ChanturishviliM
  • 10J. SuchanF
  • 19J. ChramostaF
  • 9A. RusekF
Substitutes
  • 1J. HanusG
  • 8F. ZorvanM
  • 44L. JawoF
  • 23E. SobolD
  • 21M. PolidarM
  • 20J. SlamaD
  • 18M. CedidlaD
  • 6N. OkekeM
  • 16H. AhlM
Coach: Lubos Kozel

Form going into Pardubice vs FK Jablonec

Pardubice

  • L1-2away to Hradec Králové26 July 2026

FK Jablonec

  • W2-0NK Varazdin30 July 2026
  • W2-1Sigma Olomouc26 July 2026
  • L2-3away to NK Varazdin23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Pardubice8125713-65
8FK Jablonec8413108+213

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Pardubice vs FK Jablonec

  • 2 August 2026Pardubice 0–2 FK JablonecCzech Liga
  • 15 February 2026Pardubice 0–2 FK JablonecCzech Liga
  • 14 September 2025FK Jablonec 3–2 PardubiceCzech Liga
  • 13 April 2025FK Jablonec 1–0 PardubiceCzech Liga
  • 9 November 2024Pardubice 2–0 FK JablonecCzech Liga
  • 16 May 2024FK Jablonec 3–0 PardubiceCzech Liga

Leading scorers: Pardubice and FK Jablonec

Pardubice

No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.

FK Jablonec

  • M. Cedidla3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.