Czech Liga · Regular Season - 2 · 2 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Pardubice vs FK Jablonec

Stadion Arnosta Kostala, Pardubice

The model makes it 46% Pardubice, 27% draw, 27% FK Jablonec — fair odds of 2.17, 3.70 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Expected goals: Pardubice 1.48, FK Jablonec 1.09.

Both teams to score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 47%, under 2.5: 53%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Model insights

52%
Both teams to score
47%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 13%1-0 11%2-1 9%

Head-to-head: Pardubice vs FK Jablonec

  • 15 February 2026Pardubice 0–2 FK JablonecCzech Liga
  • 14 September 2025FK Jablonec 3–2 PardubiceCzech Liga
  • 13 April 2025FK Jablonec 1–0 PardubiceCzech Liga
  • 9 November 2024Pardubice 2–0 FK JablonecCzech Liga
  • 16 May 2024FK Jablonec 3–0 PardubiceCzech Liga
  • 26 November 2023FK Jablonec 2–1 PardubiceCzech Liga
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Pardubice the highest probability at 46%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.48 expected goals for Pardubice against 1.09 for FK Jablonec. Pardubice's attack/defence rating is 0.62/1.14 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.68/1.26 for FK Jablonec.