15 August 2026, 18:30 UTC

Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor Süper Lig prediction & result

Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Gaziantep FK 1-1 Alanyaspor.

Before kick-off the model made it 52% Gaziantep FK, 24% draw, 24% Alanyaspor — fair odds of 1.92, 4.17 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Gaziantep FK at 52%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Gaziantep FK5%Draw92%Alanyaspor3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

20'
⚽Ruan
Juninho Bacuna
53'
58'
Fidan Aliti
⚽D. Sorescuassist: J. Bacuna
61'
69'
Gaius Makouta
69'
🔁Hwang Ui-Joout: E. Keskin
🔁J. Bacunaout: V. Gidado
70'
🔁T. Stewartout: S. Dursun
70'
🔁K. Kozlowskiout: H. Dervisoglu
70'
🔁U. Melekeout: A. Kizildag
78'
78'
🔁G. Makoutaout: I. Celik
78'
🔁A. Usluogluout: O. Ben Ali
Serdar Dursun
84'
🔁D. Sorescuout: S. Destici
86'
88'
Enes Keskin
88'
🔁Ruanout: Y. Ozdemir
88'
🔁Maestroout: B. A. Gezek
Gidado Victor Ntino-Emo
90+2'

Match stats — Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor

61%Possession39%
13Shots11
5On target2
0Corners4
1.19xG1.34

Goals against chances

Gaziantep FK1 from 1.19 xGabout what the chances were worth
Alanyaspor1 from 1.34 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Gaziantep FK 3-4-2-1
  • 25K. TobiaszG
  • 2L. PerezD
  • 14M. AbenaD
  • 6U. MelekeD
  • 18D. SorescuM
  • 7J. BacunaM
  • 44A. MaximM
  • 96F. StefanM
  • 10K. KozlowskiF
  • 3D. CamaraF
  • 9T. StewartF
Substitutes
  • 81C. AslanG
  • 23K. CalhanogluD
  • 77S. DesticiD
  • 4A. KizildagD
  • 11M. CihanM
  • 8V. Gidado
  • 19S. DursunF
  • 28H. DervisogluF
  • 97F. BavukF
Coach: Mirel Radoi
Alanyaspor 3-4-3
  • 48Paulo VictorG
  • 3N. LimaD
  • 5F. AlitiD
  • 50U. AkdagD
  • 94F. HadergjonajM
  • 42G. MakoutaM
  • 58MaestroM
  • 11RuanM
  • 16Hwang Ui-JoF
  • 17A. UsluogluF
  • 7I. KayaF
Substitutes
  • 23M. BayramG
  • 8E. KeskinM
  • 4B. OzyurtD
  • 20F. AksoyD
  • 93E. Karatas
  • 26I. CelikM
  • 88Y. OzdemirM
  • 55B. A. GezekM
  • 9O. Ben AliF
Coach: Joao Pereira

Süper Lig table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Gaziantep FK11227919-108
13Alanyaspor11335918-912

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor

  • 4 April 2026Gaziantep FK 1–1 AlanyasporSüper Lig
  • 3 November 2025Alanyaspor 0–0 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
  • 9 May 2025Gaziantep FK 0–1 AlanyasporSüper Lig
  • 14 December 2024Alanyaspor 3–0 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
  • 2 April 2024Gaziantep FK 0–3 AlanyasporSüper Lig

The full Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor record →

The result against the call

Gaziantep FK and Alanyaspor drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Gaziantep FK at 52% and given a draw 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Ruan 20' for Alanyaspor, D. Sorescu 61' for Gaziantep FK. On expected goals it finished 1.19–1.34.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.