KuPS
vs
Turku PS
Veikkausliiga prediction & result
Final score: KuPS 1-1 Turku PS.
Before kick-off the model made it 65% KuPS, 23% draw, 12% Turku PS — fair odds of 1.54, 4.35 and 8.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (16%).
Expected goals: KuPS 1.79, Turku PS 0.62.
Both teams to score: 39%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%, under 2.5: 57%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
KuPS
- W1-0away to Gnistan1 August 2026
- W3-1VPS25 July 2026
- W2-0away to SJK18 July 2026
- W4-0away to HJK Helsinki27 June 2026
Turku PS
- W3-0Mariehamn1 August 2026
- L0-1away to HJK Helsinki26 July 2026
- L1-3Ilves20 July 2026
- W3-0AC Oulu11 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Veikkausliiga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 34 | 17 | +17 | 40 |
| 7 | Turku PS | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 21 | +3 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full tables
Leading scorers
KuPS
- J. Moreno5 goals
- B. Armah3 goals
Turku PS
- A. Muzaci3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives KuPS the highest probability at 65%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.79 expected goals for KuPS against 0.62 for Turku PS. KuPS's attack/defence rating is 0.57/1.1 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.4/1.66 for Turku PS.