9 August 2026, 12:00 UTC

KuPS vs Turku PS Finnish Premier League prediction & result

Vare Areena, Kuopio
Full time1 – 1

Final score: KuPS 1-1 Turku PS.

Before kick-off the model made it 65% KuPS, 23% draw, 12% Turku PS — fair odds of 1.54, 4.35 and 8.33.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

KuPS at 65%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

KuPS98%Draw2%Turku PS0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽J. Luyeye-Lutumba
23'
44'
Samuel Anini Jr.
🔁S. Tourayout: T. Jyry
46'
57'
🔁L. Ikonenout: P. Juvanteny
57'
🔁N. Taloout: M. Kauppila
57'
🔁S. Aniniout: M. Konkkola
🔁J. Luyeye-Lutumbaout: J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
59'
🔁A. Heinonenout: V. R. Gasc
59'
🔁N. Kujasaloout: Jorginho
72'
77'
Charlemagne Azongnitode
🔁A. Lotjonenout: B. Magassa
83'
85'
Marius Könkkölä
86'
🔁O. Haggstromout: N. Veinbergs
90+4'
🔁E. Vauhkonenout: A. Sairinen
90'
⚽N. Veinbergsassist: P. Juvanteny

Line-ups

KuPS 4-2-3-1
  • 12H. RiihimakiG
  • 6S. SavolainenD
  • 33T. HamalainenD
  • 23A. LotjonenD
  • 3S. HeiskanenM
  • 8P. PennanenM
  • 22S. TourayM
  • 21J. Luyeye-LutumbaM
  • 13N. KujasaloM
  • 17A. HeinonenM
  • 20P. ParzyszekF
Substitutes
  • 37K. SilenG
  • 11J. J. Moreno CiorciariF
  • 29A. Puukko
  • 28B. MagassaD
  • 4K. AdamsD
  • 16T. JyryM
  • 30JorginhoD
  • 25C. AntwiD
  • 10V. R. GascM
Coach: Miika Nuutinen
Turku PS 4-2-3-1
  • 1E. HenrikssonG
  • 2O. HaggstromD
  • 15C. AzongnitodeD
  • 14M. HradeckyD
  • 24N. TaloD
  • 22T. ZaalM
  • 26L. IkonenM
  • 11E. VauhkonenM
  • 29A. MuzaciM
  • 41S. Anini
  • 99K. VisserF
Substitutes
  • 12H. AsulaG
  • 4A. SairinenD
  • 6P. Juvanteny
  • 9L. IvanovicF
  • 17A. SihvonenD
  • 20M. KauppilaD
  • 10M. KonkkolaM
  • 28T. VakipartaM
  • 44N. VeinbergsF
Coach: Ivan Pinol

Form going into KuPS vs Turku PS

KuPS

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Universitatea Craiova6 August 2026
  • L0-2Sabah FA28 July 2026
  • L0-1away to Sabah FA21 July 2026

Turku PS

No earlier matches on record this season.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: KuPS vs Turku PS

  • 17 June 2026Turku PS 1–2 KuPSFinnish Premier League
  • 4 November 2020Turku PS 3–2 KuPSFinnish Premier League
  • 29 August 2020KuPS 3–1 Turku PSFinnish Premier League
  • 21 October 2018KuPS 2–1 Turku PSFinnish Premier League
  • 5 August 2018KuPS 3–2 Turku PSFinnish Premier League

Leading scorers: KuPS and Turku PS

KuPS

GoalsAssists

  • J. Moreno71
  • B. Armah40
  • P. Pennanen33

Turku PS

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.