Wisla Krakow vs Slask Wroclaw Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Wisla Krakow 2-1 Slask Wroclaw.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Wisla Krakow, 27% draw, 25% Slask Wroclaw — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Wisla Krakow at 48% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Wisla Krakow vs Slask Wroclaw
Line-ups
- 1M. ŁubikG
- 34R. GigerD
- 6A. UrygaD
- 29D. GrujčićD
- 52J. KrzyżanowskiD
- 27É. YouanM
- 41K. DudaM
- 7J. ErtlthalerM
- 12J. IgbekemeM
- 17M. BožićM
- 9Ángel RodadoF
- 10Frederico DuarteM
- 8Marc CarbóM
- 97W. BiedrzyckiD
- 28P. LetkiewiczG
- 13M. MaisonneuveD
- 50M. KutwaD
- 23Víctor MeseguerM
- 4R. MikulecD
- 93B. NeugebauerG
- 1K. NiemczyckiG
- 21A. Timossi AnderssonD
- 33E. MatsenkoD
- 5L. BaD
- 44M. MalecD
- 27Jan JurčecD
- 38Dall'OcaM
- 15J. YriarteM
- 17K. LinettyM
- 10M. DembéléF
- 9Ieltsin CamõesF
- 19P. BanaszakF
- 3I. ChristodoulouD
- 88A. CiuckaM
- 8Marc LlinaresD
- 11L. MarjanacF
- 77E. ShabaniM
- 2D. SzalaD
- 25M. SzromnikG
- 20G. TomasiewiczM
Form going into Wisla Krakow vs Slask Wroclaw
Wisla Krakow
Ekstraklasa
- W2-0Jagiellonia11 September 2026
Slask Wroclaw
Ekstraklasa
- L1-2Korona Kielce12 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wisla Krakow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | +4 | 21 |
| 15 | Slask Wroclaw | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Wisla Krakow vs Slask Wroclaw
- 7 March 2026Slask Wroclaw 3–0 Wisla KrakowI Liga
- 24 August 2025Wisla Krakow 5–0 Slask WroclawI Liga
- 18 April 2022Slask Wroclaw 1–1 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
- 23 October 2021Wisla Krakow 0–5 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
- 12 February 2021Slask Wroclaw 1–1 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
Leading scorers: Wisla Krakow and Slask Wroclaw
Wisla Krakow
GoalsAssists
- Ángel Rodado41
Slask Wroclaw
GoalsAssists
- P. Samiec-Talar47
- P. Banaszak40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Wisla Krakow beat Slask Wroclaw 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Wisla Krakow at 48%. The goals: Angel·Rodado 16' for Wisla Krakow, Adam Ciućka 76' for Slask Wroclaw, Alan Uryga 90+3' for Wisla Krakow.
How the call on Wisla Krakow v Slask Wroclaw has moved
First published on 4 Sep at 44% / 28% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 48% / 27% / 25%: the biggest move is Wisla Krakow's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Wisla Krakow win48%▲ +4
- Draw27%▼ −1
- Slask Wroclaw win25%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.