Zemun vs Radnik Surdulica Super Liga prediction & result
Final score: Zemun 1-1 Radnik Surdulica.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Zemun, 31% draw, 34% Radnik Surdulica — fair odds of 2.86, 3.23 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Serbian SuperLiga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Zemun at 35% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Zemun vs Radnik Surdulica
Line-ups
- 89M. ŽivkovićG
- 11S. KnezevicD
- 21I. OstojićD
- 66V. BakićD
- 88A. KadijevićD
- 32M. MeskhiM
- 7Dimitrije TabakovićM
- 8O. IlićM
- 20D. PetrovicM
- 10N. BelakovićM
- 45M. ŠarićF
- 6Z. BogdanovicM
- 23M. JokićM
- 31N. KalatM
- 1M. KneževićG
- 27U. LjubomiracM
- 29A. MilosevicD
- 25D. ParađinaD
- 9N. PetrusicF
- 16M. SpremoD
- 23Lazar RadojicicG
- 22U. LazićD
- 6David StojanovićD
- 37S. AbubakarD
- 2Tijan SohnaD
- 5M. PopovićM
- 28A. PejovićM
- 20L. JovanovicM
- 30M. NovakovićM
- 88Đ. JovanovićM
- 9V. BogdanovićF
- 45Rafael SilvaD
- 1F. SamurovićG
- 7D. StojanovićM
- 3Luka ŽorićD
- 10Ryonosuke OhoriM
- 47Emmanuel QuarshieF
- 25Teo LakićF
- 92A. KosiahF
- 14Uroš IlićD
Form going into Zemun vs Radnik Surdulica
Zemun
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Vojvodina6 September 2026
- L0-2FK Crvena Zvezda30 August 2026
- L0-1away to OFK Beograd22 August 2026
- L0-1Mladost Lucani16 August 2026
- L0-3away to Radnicki 19238 August 2026
Radnik Surdulica
All competitions we cover
- D0-0FK Crvena Zvezda10 September 2026
- W3-1Cukaricki5 September 2026
- L1-5away to Železničar Pančevo29 August 2026
- W1-0Novi Pazar23 August 2026
- W2-1Macva15 August 2026
What these results say
- Zemun did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Zemun conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Zemun failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Radnik Surdulica scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Zemun | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 25 | -18 | 6 |
| 8 | Radnik Surdulica | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Zemun vs Radnik Surdulica
- 8 March 2025Zemun 2–1 Radnik SurdulicaPrva Liga
- 6 October 2024Radnik Surdulica 1–1 ZemunPrva Liga
- 23 July 2024Radnik Surdulica 2–0 ZemunFriendlies Clubs
- 11 May 2019Zemun 2–1 Radnik SurdulicaSuper Liga
- 1 December 2018Zemun 0–0 Radnik SurdulicaSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Zemun and Radnik Surdulica
Zemun
No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Radnik Surdulica
GoalsAssists
- V. Bogdanović60
- M. Novaković32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Zemun and Radnik Surdulica drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Zemun at 35% and given a draw 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Uros Lazic (own goal) 29' for Zemun, Martin Novakovic 67' for Radnik Surdulica.
How the call on Zemun v Radnik Surdulica has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 32% / 31% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 11 updates, it read 35% / 31% / 34%: the biggest move is Zemun's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Zemun win35%▲ +3
- Draw31%=
- Radnik Surdulica win34%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.