Hapoel Ramat Gan
vs
Beitar Jerusalem
Ligat Ha'al prediction
Our model says: Hapoel Ramat Gan 1–2 Beitar Jerusalem
The model makes it 26% Hapoel Ramat Gan, 27% draw, 47% Beitar Jerusalem — fair odds of 3.85, 3.70 and 2.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Hapoel Ramat Gan 1.08, Beitar Jerusalem 1.86.
Both teams to score: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 56%, under 2.5: 44%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Beitar Jerusalem
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Beitar Jerusalem at 47% here. Across 2837 settled matches, 1308 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Ramat Gan
- L0-1away to Bnei Sakhnin19 September 2026
- W2-0Maccabi Netanya14 September 2026
- L0-4away to Hapoel Tel Aviv7 September 2026
- L1-2Hapoel Beer Sheva29 August 2026
- L1-2away to Maccabi Haifa22 August 2026
Beitar Jerusalem
- W2-1Hapoel Haifa19 September 2026
- W3-1Maccabi Petah Tikva15 September 2026
- W1-0away to Bnei Sakhnin7 September 2026
- L0-3away to Hapoel Tel Aviv3 September 2026
- L1-4Maccabi Netanya29 August 2026
What these results say
- Hapoel Ramat Gan failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Hapoel Ramat Gan conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Beitar Jerusalem scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Beitar Jerusalem conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Beitar Jerusalem had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3 |
| 5 | Beitar Jerusalem | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Leading scorers: Hapoel Ramat Gan and Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Ramat Gan
No player in Ligat Ha'al's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Beitar Jerusalem
- O. Atzili2 goals2 assists
- E. Ansah2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Hapoel Ramat Gan carry a model rating of 6.15 against 6.48 for Beitar Jerusalem. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.08 goals for Hapoel Ramat Gan and 1.86 for Beitar Jerusalem. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Hapoel Ramat Gan rate 0.45 in attack and 1.83 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Beitar Jerusalem rate 0.71 and 1.50.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1326 correct results out of 2837 settled predictions (47%), with 271 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Beitar Jerusalem the highest probability at 47%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.08 expected goals for Hapoel Ramat Gan against 1.86 for Beitar Jerusalem. Hapoel Ramat Gan's attack/defence rating is 0.45/1.83 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.71/1.5 for Beitar Jerusalem.