Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Beitar Jerusalem Ligat Ha'al prediction & result
Final score: Hapoel Ramat Gan 0-4 Beitar Jerusalem.
Before kick-off the model made it 24% Hapoel Ramat Gan, 25% draw, 51% Beitar Jerusalem — fair odds of 4.17, 4.00 and 1.96.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Israeli Ligat Ha'al predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Beitar Jerusalem at 51%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Beitar Jerusalem
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 55Amit RaifG
- 66S. MijailovićD
- 5Jota GonçalvesD
- 4Márcio SilvaD
- 33F. IbrahimD
- 21I. OliM
- 6G. NaorM
- 28M. HozezM
- 7M. PlakushchenkoM
- 11D. AsankaM
- 99Luan CamposF
- 17O. YitzhakD
- 24T. GlazerM
- 20C. BonifaceM
- 9M. NoubissiF
- 10M. SemelF
- 3D. TischlerD
- 16A. ZurD
- 2Getachew YabeloD
- 22A. YankoG
- 55Miguel SilvaG
- 2N. AntwiD
- 44L. GadraniD
- 5G. CohenD
- 11T. MuziD
- 80Alexis SernaM
- 40B. EnowM
- 77O. AtziliM
- 30T. YosefiM
- 7Y. ShuaM
- 19S. WeissmanF
- 9J. KaluF
- 14R. ElimelechD
- 25L. DeriD
- 8Z. ShimolM
- 23O. N. AzoF
- 13E. AnsahF
- 22Y. OzerG
- 26D. WorkoM
- 10A. YonaM
Form going into Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Ramat Gan
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Bnei Sakhnin19 September 2026
- W2-0Maccabi Netanya14 September 2026
- L0-4away to Hapoel Tel Aviv7 September 2026
- L1-2Hapoel Beer Sheva29 August 2026
Beitar Jerusalem
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Hapoel Haifa19 September 2026
- W3-1Maccabi Petah Tikva15 September 2026
- W1-0away to Bnei Sakhnin7 September 2026
- L0-3away to Hapoel Tel Aviv3 September 2026
- L1-4Maccabi Netanya29 August 2026
What these results say
- Hapoel Ramat Gan failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Hapoel Ramat Gan conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Beitar Jerusalem scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Beitar Jerusalem conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Beitar Jerusalem had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 22 | -14 | 6 |
| 4 | Beitar Jerusalem | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Beitar Jerusalem
- 17 August 2026Hapoel Ramat Gan 3–3 Beitar JerusalemToto Cup Ligat Al
Leading scorers: Hapoel Ramat Gan and Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Ramat Gan
GoalsAssists
- Luan Campos31
Beitar Jerusalem
GoalsAssists
- O. Atzili33
- E. Ansah31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Beitar Jerusalem won 4–0 at Hapoel Ramat Gan. The model had made a win for Beitar Jerusalem its most likely outcome, at 51%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Omer Atzili 4' for Beitar Jerusalem, Boris Enow Takang 45+2' for Beitar Jerusalem, Boris Enow Takang 46' for Beitar Jerusalem, Eugene Ansah 65' for Beitar Jerusalem. On expected goals it finished 1.39–2.42.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Hapoel Ramat Gan a 38.6% chance to finish in the bottom three: 28.5% after a win, 37.2% after a draw, 43.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 43.2%, 4.6 points higher than before the match.
For Beitar Jerusalem the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 44.1% going in: 48.7% after a win, 41.2% after a draw, 35.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 48.7%, 4.6 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Ligat Ha'al season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Hapoel Ramat Gan v Beitar Jerusalem has moved
First published on 26 Sep at 26% / 27% / 47% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 24% / 25% / 51%: the biggest move is Beitar Jerusalem's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Hapoel Ramat Gan win24%▼ −2
- Draw25%▼ −2
- Beitar Jerusalem win51%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.