2 September 2026, 17:00 UTC

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Haifa Ligat Ha'al prediction & result

Toto Turner Stadium
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-2 Hapoel Haifa.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Hapoel Beer Sheva, 31% draw, 24% Hapoel Haifa — fair odds of 2.22, 3.23 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Hapoel Beer Sheva at 45% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Hapoel Beer Sheva98%Draw2%Hapoel Haifa0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Miguel Vitor
8'
⚽E. Peretz
24'
46'
🔁W. Habiballahout: Y. Gonen
46'
🔁L. Rotmanout: W. Agada
50'
⚽A. Turgemanassist: A. Mendy
🔁A. Ohanaout: M. Abu Rumi
55'
59'
Arial Mendy
⚽J. Eastassist: G. Mizrahi
66'
🔁Miguel Vitorout: I. Nachmias
68'
69'
🔁S. Eliasout: C. Diakite
🔁A. C. Ganahout: H. Kanaan
71'
🔁J. Eastout: Y. Malede
75'
🔁E. Peretzout: Joao Victor
75'
Mohamad Abu Rumi
79'
79'
🔁A. Turgemanout: I. Zafrani
•Idan Nachmias
83'
86'
C Keita
88'
🔁C. Keitaout: I. S. Pahima
90'
⚽N. Sabag (pen)

Match stats — Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Haifa

64%Possession36%
16Shots5
6On target2
4Corners2

Line-ups

Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-3-3
  • 1O. MarcianoG
  • 2G. MizrahiD
  • 4Miguel VitorD
  • 12I. RotmanD
  • 5P. AmadorD
  • 28N. YehoshuaM
  • 25Lucas VenturaM
  • 7E. PeretzM
  • 20J. EastF
  • 19A. Ohana
  • 11A. C. GanahF
Substitutes
  • 34M. Wolff
  • 13O. DavidzadaD
  • 15I. NachmiasD
  • 3M. BaltaxaD
  • 44D. T. DiopD
  • 8H. KanaanF
  • 14Y. MaledeF
  • 70Joao VictorF
  • 45M. Abu RumiF
Coach: Ran Kozuch
Hapoel Haifa 4-2-3-1
  • 1Y. GerafiG
  • 2N. CohenD
  • 25G. DibaD
  • 13D. ZuparicD
  • 77A. MendyD
  • 8C. KeitaM
  • 55N. SabagM
  • 14W. HabiballahM
  • 10S. EliasM
  • 7L. RotmanM
  • 17A. TurgemanF
Substitutes
  • 23M. AmbarG
  • 4D. MalulD
  • 3T. ArbelD
  • 42T. NaimM
  • 15Y. GonenF
  • 11I. S. PahimaM
  • 9W. AgadaF
  • 21C. Diakite
  • 18I. ZafraniF
Coach: Haim Silvas

Form going into Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Haifa

Hapoel Beer Sheva

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1away to Hapoel Ramat Gan29 August 2026
  • L2-5away to Sabah FA25 August 2026
  • W2-1Sabah FA19 August 2026
  • W2-0away to FK Crvena Zvezda11 August 2026
  • W1-0FK Crvena Zvezda4 August 2026

Hapoel Haifa

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0Hapoel Tel Aviv30 August 2026

What these results say

  • Hapoel Beer Sheva scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Hapoel Beer Sheva won 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligat Ha'al table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Hapoel Beer Sheva86111710+719
9Hapoel Haifa82331115-49

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Hapoel Beer Sheva and Hapoel Haifa

Hapoel Beer Sheva

GoalsAssists

  • I. Zlatanović40

Hapoel Haifa

GoalsAssists

  • A. Turgeman41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Hapoel Beer Sheva and Hapoel Haifa drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Hapoel Beer Sheva at 45% and given a draw 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: E. Peretz 24' for Hapoel Beer Sheva, A. Turgeman 50' for Hapoel Haifa, J. East 66' for Hapoel Beer Sheva, N. Sabag (penalty) 90' for Hapoel Haifa.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.