Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem Ligat Ha'al prediction & result
Final score: Hapoel Tel Aviv 3-0 Beitar Jerusalem.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Hapoel Tel Aviv, 36% draw, 27% Beitar Jerusalem — fair odds of 2.70, 2.78 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Israeli Ligat Ha'al predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hapoel Tel Aviv at 37% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem
Line-ups
- 22A. TzurG
- 97M. CocoD
- 5F. MayemboD
- 4ChicoD
- 16D. LeidnerD
- 98FalcaoM
- 6A. KraevM
- 11S. TurielM
- 35D. OwusuM
- 15R. Alkoukin
- 9E. BoatengF
- 1D. BenyaminiG
- 21S. PivenD
- 18T. ArchelD
- 14E. Y. KancepolskyM
- 8Y. FerberM
- 23A. LemkinM
- 7R. KorineF
- 27M. BuskilaF
- 44D. DappaF
- 55Miguel SilvaG
- 14R. ElimelechD
- 4B. CarabaliD
- 44L. GadraniD
- 11T. MuzieD
- 8Z. Ben ShimolM
- 77O. AtziliM
- 40Boris EnowM
- 26D. Worko
- 13E. AnsahM
- 7Y. ShuaF
- 22Y. OzerG
- 25L. DeriD
- 91N. ShedoF
- 30T. YosefiM
- 15N. MucheM
- 10A. YonaM
- 19S. WeissmanF
- 18R. Abergil
- 21Y. Shicot
Form going into Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Tel Aviv
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Hapoel Haifa30 August 2026
- L0-1Atalanta27 August 2026
- D0-0away to Atalanta20 August 2026
- L1-2away to GKS Katowice12 August 2026
- W2-0GKS Katowice6 August 2026
Beitar Jerusalem
All competitions we cover
- L1-4Maccabi Netanya29 August 2026
- W2-1away to Austria Vienna13 August 2026
- L1-2Austria Vienna6 August 2026
- L2-3AEK Larnaca30 July 2026
- W1-0away to AEK Larnaca23 July 2026
What these results say
- Hapoel Tel Aviv failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Hapoel Tel Aviv had two goals or fewer.
- Beitar Jerusalem scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Beitar Jerusalem conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Beitar Jerusalem had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | +13 | 19 |
| 5 | Beitar Jerusalem | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Hapoel Tel Aviv and Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Tel Aviv
GoalsAssists
- E. Boateng32
- D. Owusu31
- O. Altman30
Beitar Jerusalem
GoalsAssists
- O. Atzili32
- E. Ansah30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Hapoel Tel Aviv beat Beitar Jerusalem 3–0. The model had made a win for Hapoel Tel Aviv its most likely outcome, at 37%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: R. Alkoukin 17' for Hapoel Tel Aviv, D. Owusu 73' for Hapoel Tel Aviv, D. Dappa 82' for Hapoel Tel Aviv. Sent off: Luka Gadrani (Beitar Jerusalem) 48'.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.