Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi Tiberias Ligat Ha'al prediction & result
Final score: Maccabi Petah Tikva 1-2 Ironi Tiberias.
Before kick-off the model made it 22% Maccabi Petah Tikva, 26% draw, 52% Ironi Tiberias — fair odds of 4.55, 3.85 and 1.92. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Israeli Ligat Ha'al predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Ironi Tiberias at 52% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi Tiberias
Line-ups
- 39M. ErlichG
- 26G. DeznetD
- 20I. CohenD
- 44P. CorreaD
- 30O. DadiaD
- 17A. SalemD
- 9S. OwusuM
- 21I. Soumah
- 77J. CortesM
- 53L. HazanF
- 27Y. KorenF
- 1D. HevronG
- 18E. TibiD
- 12I. Baruch
- 22B. Abdach
- 99E. Inbrum
- 8D. Lee Yam
- 7K. C. Spence
- 97M. RakonjacF
- 10A. LugassiF
- 22I. SharonG
- 14G. Sanker
- 17R. UngerD
- 37O. BacoD
- 13Z. MorganD
- 47D. JoulaniD
- 10B. CohenM
- 23ChrisoM
- 18E. ShamirM
- 9I. ShviroF
- 84N. GbambleF
- 1G. AmosG
- 55J. Abu Ganima
- 19G. MaatukD
- 5N. ChenD
- 8A. CohenM
- 77A. Yehuda
- 12Q. Ghanem
- 11S. FarhudF
- 26R. ShamaiM
Form going into Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi Tiberias
Maccabi Petah Tikva
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Bnei Sakhnin29 August 2026
Ironi Tiberias
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Ironi Kiryat Shmona29 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Ironi Tiberias | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 2 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Maccabi Petah Tikva and Ironi Tiberias
Maccabi Petah Tikva
GoalsAssists
- J. Cortés41
Ironi Tiberias
No player in Ligat Ha'al's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Ironi Tiberias won 2–1 at Maccabi Petah Tikva. The model had made a win for Ironi Tiberias its most likely outcome, at 52%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: N. Gbamble 14' for Ironi Tiberias, J. Cortes 61' for Maccabi Petah Tikva, A. Cohen 72' for Ironi Tiberias. Sent off: bar cohen (Ironi Tiberias) 27'.