4 September 2026, 16:30 UTC

Hannover 96 vs Karlsruher SC 2. Bundesliga prediction & result

Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena, Hannover
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Hannover 96 2-2 Karlsruher SC.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Hannover 96, 28% draw, 30% Karlsruher SC — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Hannover 96 at 42% here. Across 3,039 settled matches (as of 5 October 2026), 1,415 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Hannover 965%Draw92%Karlsruher SC3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Stefán Teitur Þórðarson
5'
🔁M. Bunduout: H. Chakroun
15'
⚽L. Gindorf
26'
29'
⚽S. Fukuda
34'
Noel Eichinger
⚽M. Hartelassist: K. Oudenne
38'
Waniss Taibi
45+4'
Bastian Allgeier
45+1'
🔁S. T. Thordarsonout: F. Roggow
60'
🔁M. Hartelout: B. Pichler
61'
64'
Christoph Kobald
64'
🔁N. Eichingerout: L. Egloff
Boris Tomiak
65'
🔁V. Ghitaout: I. Okon
76'
🔁W. Taibiout: B. Kallman
76'
76'
🔁D. Ofliout: V. Bergh
76'
🔁K. Wiethaupout: T. Civeja
76'
🔁L. Ben Farhatout: J. Ponente-Ramirez
86'
⚽R. Pinto Pedrosaassist: L. Egloff
87'
🔁R. Pinto Pedrosaout: P. Scholl

Match stats — Hannover 96 vs Karlsruher SC

52%Possession48%
12Shots20
6On target7
1Corners5
1.61xG1.78

Goals against chances

Hannover 962 from 1.61 xGabout what the chances were worth
Karlsruher SC2 from 1.78 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Hannover 96 3-3-1-3
  • 30L. WeinkaufG
  • 17B. AllgeierD
  • 3B. TomiakD
  • 5V. GhitaD
  • 33M. NeubauerM
  • 23S. T. ThordarsonM
  • 29K. OudenneM
  • 10M. HartelM
  • 7M. BunduF
  • 8W. TaibiF
  • 25L. GindorfF
Substitutes
  • 1P. LoretzG
  • 20I. OkonD
  • 13F. RoggowM
  • 27H. MatsudaD
  • 44E. SahitiF
  • 14H. ChakrounF
  • 24Y. UnalD
  • 9B. KallmanF
  • 11B. PichlerF
Coach: Christian Titz
Karlsruher SC 4-2-3-1
  • 1C. BernatG
  • 36R. Pinto PedrosaD
  • 22C. KobaldD
  • 28M. FrankeD
  • 3D. OfliD
  • 26D. H. ZorM
  • 7K. WiethaupM
  • 11N. EichingerM
  • 10M. WanitzekM
  • 19L. Ben FarhatM
  • 13S. FukudaF
Substitutes
  • 30R. HimmelmannG
  • 33V. BerghD
  • 24S. TremouletD
  • 15P. SchollD
  • 6S. VaananenM
  • 25L. EgloffM
  • 23T. CivejaM
  • 37J. Ponente-RamirezF
  • 27J. D. MeyerF
Coach: Maximilian Senft

Form going into Hannover 96 vs Karlsruher SC

Hannover 96

  • W1-0away to SV Darmstadt 9830 August 2026
  • L0-1VfL Wolfsburg16 August 2026

Karlsruher SC

  • L2-5VfL Wolfsburg29 August 2026
  • D0-0away to 1. FC Kaiserslautern15 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

2. Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Hannover 96621379-27
14Karlsruher SC6123612-65

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Hannover 96 vs Karlsruher SC

  • 25 April 2026Karlsruher SC 1–3 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
  • 28 November 2025Hannover 96 3–0 Karlsruher SC2. Bundesliga
  • 4 April 2025Karlsruher SC 1–0 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
  • 2 November 2024Hannover 96 2–1 Karlsruher SC2. Bundesliga
  • 12 May 2024Karlsruher SC 1–2 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
  • 8 December 2023Hannover 96 2–2 Karlsruher SC2. Bundesliga
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.