1. FC Kaiserslautern vs SV Darmstadt 98 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: 1. FC Kaiserslautern 3-0 SV Darmstadt 98.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% 1. FC Kaiserslautern, 29% draw, 29% SV Darmstadt 98 — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All 2. Bundesliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts 1. FC Kaiserslautern at 42% here. Across 3,056 settled matches (as of 6 October 2026), 1,425 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs SV Darmstadt 98
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1J. KrahlG
- 33J. ElvediD
- 4M. GyamfiD
- 14J. RasmussenD
- 26P. JolyM
- 6F. KunzeM
- 8S. SahinM
- 22M. HaasM
- 21M. SauerF
- 7M. RitterF
- 39T. TazemetaF
- 40E. KamgaG
- 2S. AstaD
- 3A. MurphyD
- 5K. FreesD
- 37L. RobinsonM
- 41D. SchrammM
- 20M. BerishaF
- 17E. YardimciF
- 11I. KanateF
- 1M. SchuhenG
- 28C. LannertD
- 49Y. LuhrsD
- 6P. PfeifferD
- 18R. PetrettaD
- 17K. KlefischM
- 16H. AkiyamaM
- 22L. KehlM
- 41L. DuijvestijnM
- 7N. WeisshauptM
- 36M. SmitF
- 30A. BrunstG
- 25W. MikelbrencisD
- 4G. DettoniD
- 3F. KleinhanslD
- 10N. VerkooijenM
- 23C. SickingerM
- 9Lee Ho-JaeF
- 11I. El KadiriF
- 44Y. FurukawaF
Form going into 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs SV Darmstadt 98
1. FC Kaiserslautern
- W2-1away to FC St. Pauli30 August 2026
- D0-0Karlsruher SC15 August 2026
SV Darmstadt 98
- L0-1Hannover 9630 August 2026
- L0-1away to Dynamo Dresden16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 11 |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs SV Darmstadt 98
- 7 February 2026SV Darmstadt 98 4–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
- 31 August 20251. FC Kaiserslautern 3–1 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
- 11 May 20251. FC Kaiserslautern 2–1 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
- 14 December 2024SV Darmstadt 98 5–1 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
- 18 March 2023SV Darmstadt 98 2–0 FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
- 11 September 2022FC Kaiserslautern 3–3 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga