Başakşehir vs Galatasaray Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Başakşehir 2-3 Galatasaray.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Başakşehir, 27% draw, 34% Galatasaray — fair odds of 2.56, 3.70 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Başakşehir at 39% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Başakşehir vs Galatasaray
Line-ups
- 98D. DilmenG
- 42Ö. ŞahinerD
- 23E. BayramD
- 3J. OpokuD
- 21C. OperiD
- 18J. KałuzińskiM
- 20U. GüneşM
- 70A. Skov OlsenM
- 8O. KemenM
- 11A. FayzullaevM
- 14E. ShomurodovF
- 91B. YıldırımF
- 9D. SelkeF
- 7Y. SarıF
- 19B. ÖzcanM
- 38S. KharebashviliD
- 33M. KarbownikD
- 77I. BrnićF
- 17U. BozokF
- 27O. BaD
- 1U. ÇakırG
- 7R. SallaiD
- 6D. SánchezD
- 99M. LeminaD
- 4I. JakobsD
- 34L. TorreiraM
- 8Gabriel SaraM
- 11Y. AkgünM
- 83A. BatrakovM
- 10L. SanéM
- 45V. OsimhenF
- 18L. UgochukwuM
- 23K. AyhanD
- 53B. YılmazF
- 42A. BardakcıD
- 74Renato NhagaM
- 17E. ElmalıD
- 21D. GülF
- 20İ. GündoğanM
- 24J. YılmazG
Form going into Başakşehir vs Galatasaray
Başakşehir
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Kasımpaşa30 August 2026
- L1-2away to Trabzonspor23 August 2026
- W2-0Kocaelispor16 August 2026
- L0-2away to Inter Turku30 July 2026
- D1-1Inter Turku22 July 2026
Galatasaray
All competitions we cover
- W3-2Göztepe29 August 2026
- W4-0away to Erzurumspor FK21 August 2026
- D2-2Çorum FK14 August 2026
What these results say
- Başakşehir failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Başakşehir scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Başakşehir conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Başakşehir | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 12 | +7 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Başakşehir vs Galatasaray
- 14 March 2026Galatasaray 3–0 BaşakşehirSüper Lig
- 18 December 2025Galatasaray 1–0 BaşakşehirTürkiye Kupası
- 18 October 2025Başakşehir 1–2 GalatasaraySüper Lig
- 30 May 2025Galatasaray 2–0 BaşakşehirSüper Lig
- 12 January 2025Başakşehir 1–2 GalatasaraySüper Lig
Leading scorers: Başakşehir and Galatasaray
Başakşehir
GoalsAssists
- E. Shomurodov71
Galatasaray
GoalsAssists
- V. Osimhen83
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Galatasaray won 3–2 at Başakşehir. The model had leaned towards a win for Başakşehir at 39% and given a win for Galatasaray 34%. The goals: Victor Osimhen 16' for Galatasaray, Eldor Shomurodov (penalty) 66' for Başakşehir, Lucas Torreira 71' for Galatasaray, Davinson Sánchez (own goal) 76' for Başakşehir, Gabriel 90' for Galatasaray. Sent off: Umut Bozok (Başakşehir) 79', Nuri Şahin (Başakşehir) 90+8'.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.