Gyori ETO FC
vs
Ferencvarosi TC
NB I prediction
The model makes it 42% Gyori ETO FC, 35% draw, 23% Ferencvarosi TC — fair odds of 2.38, 2.86 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Gyori ETO FC 1.00, Ferencvarosi TC 0.64.
Both teams to score: 31%. Over 2.5 goals: 23%, under 2.5: 77%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Gyori ETO FC
- D1-1away to Debreceni VSC16 August 2026
- W4-0Nyiregyhaza2 August 2026
- D2-2away to Vasas26 July 2026
Ferencvarosi TC
- W1-0away to Zalaegerszegi TE17 August 2026
- D0-0Vasas2 August 2026
- L2-4away to Paks26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Gyori ETO FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 5 |
| 9 | Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Gyori ETO FC vs Ferencvarosi TC
- 22 April 2026Ferencvarosi TC 2–2 Gyori ETO FCMagyar Kupa
- 19 April 2026Gyori ETO FC 1–0 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
- 25 January 2026Ferencvarosi TC 1–3 Gyori ETO FCNB I
- 28 September 2025Gyori ETO FC 0–2 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
- 24 May 2025Gyori ETO FC 1–2 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Gyori ETO FC carry a model rating of 6.68 against 6.67 for Ferencvarosi TC. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
Recent form (most recent last): Gyori ETO FC D-W-D; Ferencvarosi TC L-D-W.
The model expects a tight, low-scoring game
Under the hood the model expects 1.00 goals for Gyori ETO FC and 0.64 for Ferencvarosi TC. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Gyori ETO FC rate 0.62 in attack and 0.94 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Ferencvarosi TC rate 0.49 and 0.85.
That points to 23% for over two and a half goals and 31% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 0-0 (20%), 1-0 (19%), 1-1 (13%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 542 correct results out of 1143 settled predictions (47%), with 104 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Gyori ETO FC the highest probability at 42%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1 expected goals for Gyori ETO FC against 0.64 for Ferencvarosi TC. Gyori ETO FC's attack/defence rating is 0.62/0.94 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.49/0.85 for Ferencvarosi TC.