30 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Puskas Academy vs Ferencvarosi TC NB I prediction & result

Pancho Arena
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Puskas Academy 1-2 Ferencvarosi TC.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% Puskas Academy, 34% draw, 30% Ferencvarosi TC — fair odds of 2.78, 2.94 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Puskas Academy at 36% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 2,861 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Puskas Academy0%Draw3%Ferencvarosi TC97%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

14'
🔁L. Josephout: K. Lisztes
24'
Cadu
🔁B. Ormonde-Ottewillout: B. Farkas
45+1'
46'
🔁I. Varga Zetenyout: Dele
Roland Orján
48'
53'
⚽K. Zachariassenassist: D. Arzani
🔁M. Okekeout: Z. Varga
54'
🔁P. Dardaiout: M. Soisalo
54'
⚽G. Harutyunyan
58'
63'
⚽K. Lisztesassist: Dele
67'
🔁D. Arzaniout: C. O'Dowda
🔁R. Orjanout: Z. Nagy
75'
🔁A. Nemethout: L. Colley
75'
78'
⚽Toon Raemaekers (pen)
81'
Krisztián Lisztes
89'
Kristoffer Zachariassen
89'
🔁K. Zachariassenout: N. Keita
Lamin Colley
90+1'
•Lamin Colley
90+2'

Match stats — Puskas Academy vs Ferencvarosi TC

38%Possession62%
6Shots16
3On target6
2Corners5

Line-ups

Puskas Academy 4-3-3
  • 72B. LehoczkiG
  • 96R. OrjanD
  • 14W. GollaD
  • 21G. HarutyunyanD
  • 33B. Ormonde-OttewillD
  • 4M. OkekeM
  • 6L. DuarteM
  • 74M. KernM
  • 10P. DardaiF
  • 90A. NemethF
  • 8D. LukacsF
Substitutes
  • 1T. MarkekG
  • 22R. SzolnokiD
  • 88B. FarkasD
  • 24B. PalD
  • 25Z. NagyD
  • 18B. VekonyM
  • 66Z. VargaM
  • 9L. ColleyF
  • 20M. SoisaloF
Coach: Levente Babo
Ferencvarosi TC 4-2-3-1
  • 90D. DibuszG
  • 14A. OsvathD
  • 28T. RaemaekersD
  • 4M. GomezD
  • 20CaduD
  • 17M. CorbuM
  • 6A. NagyM
  • 68I. Varga ZetenyM
  • 16K. ZachariassenM
  • 15D. ArzaniM
  • 75L. JosephF
Substitutes
  • 1A. VargaG
  • 33L. OriG
  • 54O. NagyD
  • 5N. ZohoreD
  • 71C. LakatosD
  • 76K. LisztesF
  • 47C. O'DowdaM
  • 8N. KeitaM
  • 36G. KanichowskyM
Coach: Balazs Borbely

Form going into Puskas Academy vs Ferencvarosi TC

Puskas Academy

  • W1-0away to Vasas22 August 2026

Ferencvarosi TC

  • W4-0Trabzonspor27 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Trabzonspor20 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Zalaegerszegi TE17 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Gornik Zabrze13 August 2026
  • W3-0away to Gyori ETO FC8 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

NB I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Puskas Academy96031410+418
6Ferencvarosi TC8341129+313

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Puskas Academy vs Ferencvarosi TC

  • 14 April 2026Ferencvarosi TC 2–1 Puskas AcademyNB I
  • 30 November 2025Puskas Academy 1–2 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
  • 16 August 2025Ferencvarosi TC 1–2 Puskas AcademyNB I
  • 3 May 2025Ferencvarosi TC 1–1 Puskas AcademyNB I
  • 9 February 2025Puskas Academy 1–0 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
  • 29 September 2024Ferencvarosi TC 3–0 Puskas AcademyNB I

Leading scorers: Puskas Academy and Ferencvarosi TC

Puskas Academy

GoalsAssists

  • A. Németh31
  • P. Dárdai22

Ferencvarosi TC

No player in NB I's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.