5 September 2026, 18:00 UTC

Paks vs Debreceni VSC NB I prediction & result

Paks
Full time2 – 4

Final score: Paks 2-4 Debreceni VSC.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% Paks, 26% draw, 35% Debreceni VSC — fair odds of 2.56, 3.85 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Paks at 39% here. Across 3,056 settled matches (as of 6 October 2026), 2,416 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

6'
⚽A. Szendreiassist: I. Egri
22'
⚽A. Szendreiassist: C. Denes
⚽Z. Haraszti
24'
39'
⚽A. Guerrero
🔁K. Horvathout: J. Windecker
46'
🔁C. Belenyesiout: B. Toth
46'
55'
🔁B. Dzsudzsakout: C. Sain Balasz
68'
🔁D. Pataiout: S. Samper
68'
🔁I. Egriout: S. Baldoni
68'
🔁A. Szendreiout: B. Adinany
71'
⚽G. Vas (OG)
🔁A. Lapuout: M. Simut
75'
🔁J. Szalaiout: J. Galambos
75'
76'
🔁P. Andreevout: B. Erdelyi
⚽B. Tothassist: M. Gyorfi
81'
János Szabó
88'
89'
Csanád Vilmos Dénes

Match stats — Paks vs Debreceni VSC

51%Possession49%
34Shots12
13On target6
8Corners7

Line-ups

Paks 3-2-4-1
  • 1A. KovacsikG
  • 12G. VasD
  • 15C. BelenyesiD
  • 30J. SzaboD
  • 19K. HorvathM
  • 21K. PappM
  • 6M. Gyorfi
  • 17M. PetoM
  • 10Z. HarasztiM
  • 4A. LapuF
  • 7J. SzalaiF
Substitutes
  • 28M. GyetvanG
  • 24B. LenzserD
  • 14E. SilyeD
  • 20M. SimutD
  • 8B. BaloghM
  • 5B. VecseiM
  • 22J. WindeckerM
  • 29B. TothF
  • 9J. HahnF
Coach: Gyorgy Bognar
Debreceni VSC 4-2-3-1
  • 1P. AndreevG
  • 23G. TerczaD
  • 2D. SzakalD
  • 26A. LangD
  • 3A. GuerreroD
  • 6B. BoskovicM
  • 75D. PataiM
  • 24I. EgriM
  • 10B. DzsudzsakM
  • 97C. DenesM
  • 11A. Szendrei
Substitutes
  • 12B. ErdelyiG
  • 72R. KellerD
  • 40D. HermannD
  • 66J. JannehM
  • 16S. SamperM
  • 20M. MacsoM
  • 25S. BaldoniF
  • 18S. KayeF
  • 39B. AdinanyF
Coach: Gert Remmel

Form going into Paks vs Debreceni VSC

Paks

  • D1-1away to Nyiregyhaza29 August 2026
  • W2-0Ujpest21 August 2026
  • L2-3away to Puskas Academy16 August 2026

Debreceni VSC

  • D2-2MTK Budapest28 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Kisvarda FC23 August 2026
  • D1-1Gyori ETO FC16 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

NB I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Paks83231617-111
9Debreceni VSC82331215-39

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Paks vs Debreceni VSC

  • 3 May 2026Paks 5–2 Debreceni VSCNB I
  • 7 February 2026Debreceni VSC 1–0 PaksNB I
  • 18 October 2025Paks 1–1 Debreceni VSCNB I
  • 18 May 2025Debreceni VSC 0–0 PaksNB I
  • 22 February 2025Paks 4–3 Debreceni VSCNB I
  • 19 October 2024Debreceni VSC 0–5 PaksNB I

Leading scorers: Paks and Debreceni VSC

Paks

  • J. Szalai6 goals1 assist
  • M. Pető3 goals
  • Z. Haraszti2 goals2 assists

Debreceni VSC

  • Á. Szendrei4 goals2 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.