Guingamp vs RED Star FC 93 Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Guingamp 1-3 RED Star FC 93.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Guingamp, 29% draw, 32% RED Star FC 93 — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Guingamp at 39% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Guingamp vs RED Star FC 93
Line-ups
- 16Adrián OrtoláG
- 2E. KoffiD
- 7D. GomisD
- 24J. DiangangaD
- 5T. OllilaD
- 11T. AverlantM
- 4D. LouiserreM
- 25T. DucrocqM
- 20S. Ben BrahimM
- 21T. AhileF
- 22B. BokanguF
- 1T. BartoucheG
- 23J. ChamakhF
- 36A. DemouchyD
- 18S. KieltM
- 31J. MatondoM
- 3J. MatumonaD
- 39Vimoj Muntu Wa MunguD
- 17A. SamouraF
- 8F. Da SilvaM
- 16G. PoussinG
- 2T. MagninD
- 20D. DurivauxD
- 5J. EscartinD
- 3M. HuardD
- 6B. DangerM
- 19I. HalifaM
- 27G. KyeremehM
- 10S. KhaouiM
- 7D. DurandM
- 23J. Ikanga A NgeleF
- 25Leonardo ButaD
- 21Idrissa SabalyM
- 17S. RenelM
- 14Mahamadou DiawaraM
- 9I. DespotovicF
- 11K. CisséF
- 91K. CabralF
- 1Yanis Benchaouch MartyG
- 4E. ZidaneD
Form going into Guingamp vs RED Star FC 93
Guingamp
Ligue 2
- W2-1Annecy12 September 2026
RED Star FC 93
Ligue 2
- W1-0Metz14 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Guingamp | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 |
| 6 | RED Star FC 93 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Guingamp vs RED Star FC 93
- 10 July 2026Guingamp 1–0 RED Star FC 93Friendlies Clubs
- 24 April 2026RED Star FC 93 3–2 GuingampLigue 2
- 23 August 2025Guingamp 0–4 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
- 1 March 2025RED Star FC 93 3–1 GuingampLigue 2
- 30 August 2024Guingamp 3–4 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
Leading scorers: Guingamp and RED Star FC 93
Guingamp
GoalsAssists
- B. Bokangu40
- S. Ben Brahim30
RED Star FC 93
GoalsAssists
- D. Durand50
- J. Ikanga A Ngele42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
RED Star FC 93 won 3–1 at Guingamp. The model had leaned towards a win for Guingamp at 39% and given a win for RED Star FC 93 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Damien Durand 24' for RED Star FC 93, Jovany Ikanga A Ngele 38' for RED Star FC 93, Erwin Koffi 67' for Guingamp, Damien Durand 69' for RED Star FC 93. Sent off: Donacien Gomis (Guingamp) 12'.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.