Reims vs Montpellier Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Reims 1-1 Montpellier.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Reims, 30% draw, 30% Montpellier — fair odds of 2.50, 3.33 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Reims at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Reims vs Montpellier
Line-ups
- 1T. HülsmannG
- 63A. ZohouriD
- 28N. AhouononD
- 22S. KottoD
- 27D. GuindoD
- 6T. LeoniM
- 61C. KouranfalM
- 87A. TiaM
- 8Y. FofanaM
- 9M. DaramyM
- 99S. SoumanoF
- 77Quentin ParisF
- 7T. DiarrassoubaF
- 76J. CelestinD
- 18Sergio AkiemeD
- 30J. PatrickM
- 48A. GadouF
- 21J. MambukuD
- 12E. OmeragicG
- 5John OtomewoD
- 31S. NgapandouetnbuG
- 3Naoufel El HannachD
- 15J. LaporteD
- 17T. Sainte-LuceD
- 28Y. ZouaouiD
- 27D. MeddahM
- 5F. TardieuM
- 18N. PaysM
- 44T. ChennahiM
- 19N. MukieleM
- 11M. CamaraF
- 40N. Vidal-CartouxM
- 58A. SissokoD
- 9Lacine Megnan-PaveF
- 39J. HatchiF
- 50V. DžodiÄG
- 23Daryll BenlahlouF
- 90Gregory AyemM
- 32Hichem AbderrebiM
Form going into Reims vs Montpellier
Reims
Ligue 2
- W2-1away to Nancy11 September 2026
Montpellier
Ligue 2
- W1-0PAU11 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 20 | 12 | +8 | 18 |
| 2 | Montpellier | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Reims vs Montpellier
- 27 February 2026Montpellier 0–0 ReimsLigue 2
- 24 November 2025Reims 2–0 MontpellierLigue 2
- 27 April 2025Montpellier 0–0 ReimsLigue 1
- 6 October 2024Reims 4–2 MontpellierLigue 1
- 21 April 2024Reims 1–2 MontpellierLigue 1
- 27 August 2023Montpellier 1–3 ReimsLigue 1
Leading scorers: Reims and Montpellier
Reims
GoalsAssists
- Y. Fofana81
Montpellier
GoalsAssists
- N. Pays31
- Lacine Megnan-Pave31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Reims and Montpellier drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Reims at 40% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Nordan Mukiele 7' for Montpellier, Yaya Fofana 33' for Reims. Sent off: Armel Zohouri (Reims) 71'.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.