18 September 2026, 18:00 UTC

Rodez vs Nancy Ligue 2 prediction & result

Stade Paul-Lignon, Rodez
Full time3 – 4

Final score: Rodez 3-4 Nancy.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% Rodez, 29% draw, 32% Nancy — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Rodez at 39% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

4'
⚽Ilyes Housniassist: Pape Meissa Ba
⚽Yannis Nahounou (OG)
7'
Loni Laurent
16'
⚽Raphael Lipinskiassist: Antonin Cartillier
20'
20'
Zakaria Fdaouch
47'
⚽Pape Meissa Baassist: Nordine Kandil
51'
⚽Nehemiah Fernandezassist: Nordine Kandil
⚽Jean Lambert Evan'sassist: Mathis Touho
59'
🔁Steven Luyambula Biwaout: Corentin Issanchou Roubiou
64'
🔁Nachon Nsingiout: Kenny Nagera
64'
64'
🔁Nordine Kandilout: Zakaria Fdaouch
Mathis Saka
72'
74'
⚽Pape Meissa Ba
🔁Jean Lambert Evan'sout: Ryan Ponti
80'
🔁Mathis Sakaout: Octave Joly
80'
🔁Loni Laurentout: Damjan Pavlović
80'
86'
🔁El Hadari Raheriniainaout: Chafik El Hansar
86'
🔁Pape Meissa Baout: Mamadou Fofana
Mathis Magnin
90+1'
90+4'
🔁Walid Bouabdeliout: Jeremy Gelin

Match stats — Rodez vs Nancy

40%Possession60%
10Shots24
5On target8
4Corners5

Line-ups

Rodez 4-4-2
  • 30E. CrombezG
  • 24L. QuenabioD
  • 4M. MagninD
  • 3R. LipinskiD
  • 15E. Jean-LambertD
  • 28S. Luyambula BiwaM
  • 10M. SakaM
  • 6J. MendesM
  • 29Antonin CartillierM
  • 9N. NsingiF
  • 11M. TouhoF
Substitutes
  • 22O. JolyM
  • 13C. RoubiouD
  • 27M. Essimi AtebaF
  • 16L. MargueronG
  • 7K. NageraF
  • 21K. NsonaF
  • 8D. PavlovićM
  • 20R. PontiD
  • 17L. Vungele VangiD
Coach: D. Santini
Nancy 4-4-2
  • 1E. BasilioG
  • 4N. Fernandez-VelizD
  • 77Y. NahounouD
  • 21E. MendyD
  • 44E. TacafredD
  • 70N. KandilM
  • 6K. KebeM
  • 8W. BouabdelliM
  • 12El HadariM
  • 9I. HousniF
  • 5P. Meïssa BaF
Substitutes
  • 17Mamadou Fofana IIM
  • 7Z. FdaouchF
  • 45C. El HansarM
  • 10A. DabasseF
  • 11I. CisseF
  • 25J. GélinM
  • 30G. LembetG
  • 14N. Saint-RufD
  • 22L. NdenbeD
Coach: O. Tanchot

Form going into Rodez vs Nancy

Rodez

Ligue 2

  • L0-1Grenoble11 September 2026

Nancy

Ligue 2

  • L1-2Reims11 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Rodez103161622-610
3Nancy10613128+419

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Rodez vs Nancy

  • 23 January 2026Nancy 1–3 RodezLigue 2
  • 9 August 2025Rodez 0–0 NancyLigue 2
  • 19 April 2022Rodez 1–1 NancyLigue 2
  • 20 November 2021Nancy 0–2 RodezLigue 2
  • 8 May 2021Rodez 1–1 NancyLigue 2
  • 8 January 2021Nancy 2–2 RodezLigue 2

Leading scorers: Rodez and Nancy

Rodez

GoalsAssists

  • I. Baldé50

Nancy

No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Nancy won 4–3 at Rodez. The model had leaned towards a win for Rodez at 39% and given a win for Nancy 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Ilyes Housni 4' for Nancy, Yannis Nahounou (own goal) 7' for Rodez, Raphael Lipinski 20' for Rodez, Pape Meissa Ba 47' for Nancy, Nehemiah Fernandez 51' for Nancy, Jean Lambert Evan's 59' for Rodez, Pape Meissa Ba 74' for Nancy.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.