19 July 2026

Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna First League prediction & result

Full time1 – 1

Final score: Botev Vratsa 1-1 Cherno More Varna.

Before kick-off the model made it 66% Botev Vratsa, 17% draw, 17% Cherno More Varna — fair odds of 1.52, 5.88 and 5.88. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Botev Vratsa at 66% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 275 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

M. Petkov
46'
49'
N. Zlatev
53'
🔁N. Zlatevout: G. Lazarov
58'
D. Teles
🔁D. Genovout: P. Borukov
64'
70'
⚽V. Panayotov
🔁M. Smolenskiout: S. Mechev
71'
76'
M. Barandas
77'
🔁M. Achiout: B. Beyhan
78'
G. Lazarov
88'
L. Squadrone
89'
🔁M. Barandasout: P. Andreev
90'
🔁D. Telesout: Joao Bandaro
M. Stoev
90+3'
⚽M. Petkov
90+5'

Line-ups

Botev Vratsa 4-2-3-1
  • 94Marin OrlinovG
  • 88Lazar BoyanovD
  • 36Milen StoevD
  • 4Ivan GoranovD
  • 3Sainey SanyangD
  • 12Iliya YurukovM
  • 6Abdullah KichukovM
  • 81Kassim HadjiM
  • 24Martin SmolenskiM
  • 9Daniel GenovM
  • 79Martin PetkovF
Substitutes
  • 90Preslav BorukovF
  • 17Samuil MechevM
  • 77Luboslav Stoyanov MarinovG
  • 1Lyubomir VasilevG
  • 11Martin AchkovD
  • 17José GallegosM
  • 4Miroslav Danielov Tsonev
Coach: Todor Simov
Cherno More Varna 4-2-3-1
  • 81Kristian TomovG
  • 13Emanuil NyagolovD
  • 3Zhivko AtanasovD
  • 5Luciano SquadroneD
  • 37Ventsislav KerchevD
  • 24David TelesM
  • 71Vasil PanayotovM
  • 39Nikolay ZlatevM
  • 7Mohamed AchiM
  • 7Miguel BarandasF
  • 9Aleksandar KolevF
Substitutes
  • 19Georgi LazarovF
  • 29Berk BeyhanM
  • 26João BandaroD
  • 21Petar AndreevM
  • 70Antoan ManasievG
  • 22Nikolay Petrov KostadinovM
  • 34Kristiyan MihaylovM
Coach: Ilian Iliev

First League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Botev Vratsa9225717-108
12Cherno More Varna91261019-95

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna

  • 19 July 2026Botev Vratsa 0–1 Cherno More VarnaFirst League
  • 20 February 2026Cherno More Varna 0–0 Botev VratsaFirst League
  • 29 August 2025Botev Vratsa 1–0 Cherno More VarnaFirst League
  • 7 December 2024Botev Vratsa 2–3 Cherno More VarnaFirst League
  • 12 August 2024Cherno More Varna 2–1 Botev VratsaFirst League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.