19 July 2026

IF Elfsborg vs Sirius Allsvenskan prediction & result

Full time1 – 3

Final score: IF Elfsborg 1-3 Sirius.

Before kick-off the model made it 19% IF Elfsborg, 21% draw, 60% Sirius — fair odds of 5.26, 4.76 and 1.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Sirius at 60% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

R. Wikstrom
19'
21'
⚽I. Bjerkebo (pen)assist: I. Bjerkebo
S. Holmen
24'
37'
M. Soumah
45+3'
O. Krusnell
45+3'
M. Lindberg
🔁R. Wikstromout: A. Jensen
46'
🔁A. Sigurpalssonout: A. Zeneli
63'
🔁J. Beckout: M. Rohden
64'
🔁F. Ihlerout: L. Ostman
69'
70'
🔁C. Nildenout: V. Svensson
82'
⚽M. Soumahassist: I. Bjerkebo
84'
⚽R. Ure
🔁N. Hultout: T. Silverholt
87'
⚽O. Krusnell (OG)
88'
89'
🔁I. Bjerkeboout: S. Sandberg
90'
⚽R. Ure

Match stats — IF Elfsborg vs Sirius

49%Possession51%
18Shots17
3On target9
6Corners4

Line-ups

IF Elfsborg 4-2-3-1
  • 31Isak PetterssonG
  • 6Rasmus WikströmD
  • 8Sebastian HolménD
  • 4Thomas IsherwoodD
  • 23Niklas HultD
  • 18Julius MagnussonM
  • 10Simon OlssonM
  • 29Momoh Ibrahim KamaraM
  • 19Julius BeckM
  • 25Ari SigurpálssonM
  • 24Frederik IhlerF
Substitutes
  • 16Alexander JensenM
  • 9Arbër ZeneliM
  • 7Marcus RohdénM
  • 21Leo ÖstmanF
  • 11Taylor SilverholtF
  • 12Theo SanderG
  • 28Frode AronssonD
  • 2Rufai MohammedD
  • 27Ozor Victor OkekeM
Coach: Bjorn Hamberg
Sirius 4-2-3-1
  • 34David CelicG
  • 5Henrik CastegrenD
  • 2Mohamed SoumahD
  • 4Tobias AnkerD
  • 22Oscar KrusnellD
  • 6Marcus LindbergM
  • 10Melker HeierM
  • 25Odera Samuel AdinduM
  • 21Charlie NildenM
  • 11Isak BjerkeboM
  • 9Robbie UreF
Substitutes
  • 24Victor SvenssonM
  • 15Simon SandbergD
  • 1Ismael DiawaraG
  • 20Victor EkstromD
  • 27Ben MagnussonD
  • 35Elliot EldD
  • 18Adam WikmanM
  • 36August LjungbergF
  • 23Finlay NeatF
Coach: Andreas Engelmark

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5IF Elfsborg26111053926+1343
1Sirius2617455634+2255

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: IF Elfsborg vs Sirius

  • 8 March 2026IF Elfsborg 1–2 SiriusSvenska Cupen
  • 26 October 2025Sirius 4–0 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
  • 23 April 2025IF Elfsborg 4–3 SiriusAllsvenskan
  • 6 October 2024Sirius 4–1 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
  • 29 April 2024IF Elfsborg 2–0 SiriusAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: IF Elfsborg and Sirius

IF Elfsborg

GoalsAssists

  • L. Östman92

Sirius

GoalsAssists

  • R. Ure152
  • I. Bjerkebo146

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Sirius won 3–1 at IF Elfsborg. The model had made a win for Sirius its most likely outcome, at 60%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: M. Soumah 82' for Sirius, R. Ure 84' for Sirius, O. Krusnell (own goal) 88' for IF Elfsborg, R. Ure 90' for Sirius.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.