Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Tigres UANL 2-2 Atletico San Luis.
Before kick-off the model made it 54% Tigres UANL, 24% draw, 22% Atletico San Luis — fair odds of 1.85, 4.17 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Tigres UANL at 54% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Nahuel GuzmánG
- 14Jesus GarzaD
- 28JoaquimD
- 23Rômulo ZwargD
- 32Vladimir LoroñaD
- 5César AraújoM
- 8Fernando GorriaránM
- 16Diego LainezM
- 11Juan BrunettaM
- 30Diego SánchezM
- 77Ozziel HerreraF
- 15Alan Javier FrancoD
- 6Juan VigónM
- 205Antonio de María y CamposF
- 25Carlos RodríguezG
- 193Marcelo SalinasD
- 26Fernando OrdoñezD
- 33Rafael GuerreroD
- 19Mauro LaínezF
- 198Isac GalvánM
- 1Andrés SánchezG
- 3Robson BambuD
- 14Miguel Alonso GarcíaD
- 31Eduardo ÁguilaD
- 2Román TorresM
- 21Oscar MacíasM
- 10Sébastien Salles-LamongeM
- 16Lucas EstevesM
- 11David RodriguezF
- 22SergioF
- 20Leonardo FloresF
- 5Roberto MerazM
- 26Sebastián Pérez BouquetM
- 8Ronaldo NájeraM
- 19Santiago MuñozF
- 17Anderson DuarteF
- 25Gibran LajudG
- 18Aldo CruzD
- 30Benjamín GalindoD
- 13Johan CaicedoM
Form going into Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis
Tigres UANL
All competitions we cover
- L1-3away to Club Tijuana17 July 2026
Atletico San Luis
All competitions we cover
- L2-3Cruz Azul18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
| 11 | Atletico San Luis | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis
- 12 January 2026Atletico San Luis 1–2 Tigres UANLLiga MX
- 8 November 2025Tigres UANL 3–1 Atletico San LuisLiga MX
- 11 January 2025Atletico San Luis 1–3 Tigres UANLLiga MX
- 2 December 2024Tigres UANL 0–0 Atletico San LuisLiga MX
- 29 November 2024Atletico San Luis 3–0 Tigres UANLLiga MX
Leading scorers: Tigres UANL and Atletico San Luis
Tigres UANL
GoalsAssists
- J. Brunetta84
Atletico San Luis
No player in Liga MX's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Tigres UANL and Atletico San Luis drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Tigres UANL at 54% and given a draw 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: F. Gorriaran 11' for Tigres UANL, R. Llorente 39' for Atletico San Luis, D. A. Sanchez Guevara 53' for Tigres UANL, D. Rodriguez 89' for Atletico San Luis. On expected goals it finished 1.34–0.50.