Santos Laguna vs Atlas Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Santos Laguna 0-1 Atlas.
Before kick-off the model made it 24% Santos Laguna, 30% draw, 46% Atlas — fair odds of 4.17, 3.33 and 2.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Atlas at 46% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Santos Laguna vs Atlas
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Carlos AcevedoG
- 3Mauricio CuevasD
- 18Franco PardoD
- 25Felipe SánchezD
- 17Emmanuel EcheverríaD
- 8Salvador MariscalM
- 11Carlos GruezoM
- 21Fran VillalbaM
- 10Ezequiel BullaudeM
- 26Ramiro SordoM
- 9Lucas Di YorioF
- 33Hector HolguinG
- 4José AbellaD
- 14Efrain OronaM
- 22Kevin PiconD
- 15Joshua ManchaM
- 24Diego MedinaM
- 5Aldo Lopez VargasM
- 6Javier GüemezM
- 19Eduardo AguirreF
- 12Camilo VargasG
- 2Gustavo FerrareisD
- 28Manuel CapassoD
- 21Rodrigo SchlegelD
- 16Milton ValenzuelaD
- 26Aldo RochaM
- 6Edgar ZaldívarM
- 11DukM
- 58Arturo GonzálezM
- 23Sergio HernandezM
- 8Ryan MmaeeF
- 22Antonio SánchezG
- 4Adrián MoraD
- 13Gaddi AguirreD
- 17Jose LozanoD
- 3Jorge SánchezD
- 15Paulo RamírezD
- 192Jesús SerratoM
- 27Victor RiosM
- 10Luís EstevesM
Form going into Santos Laguna vs Atlas
Santos Laguna
All competitions we cover
- L2-3away to Monterrey19 July 2026
Atlas
All competitions we cover
- W3-2away to Leon18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 19 |
| 4 | Atlas | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 24 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Santos Laguna vs Atlas
- 19 April 2026Santos Laguna 0–1 AtlasLiga MX
- 14 September 2025Atlas 2–2 Santos LagunaLiga MX
- 23 February 2025Santos Laguna 2–0 AtlasLiga MX
- 17 July 2024Atlas 1–0 Santos LagunaLiga MX
- 5 February 2024Atlas 3–0 Santos LagunaLiga MX
Leading scorers: Santos Laguna and Atlas
Santos Laguna
GoalsAssists
- Tahiel Adrián Jiménez Sánchez50
Atlas
GoalsAssists
- Luís Esteves53
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Atlas won 1–0 at Santos Laguna. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Atlas at 46%. The goal: E. Zaldivar 64' for Atlas. On expected goals it finished 0.83–1.12.