Atlante FC vs Club America Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Atlante FC 1-1 Club America.
Before kick-off the model made it 17% Atlante FC, 15% draw, 68% Club America — fair odds of 5.88, 6.67 and 1.47. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-3.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Club America at 68% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 410 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.9% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.3%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Atlante FC vs Club America
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Óscar JiménezG
- 29Walter PortalesD
- 6Nicolas CarreraD
- 4Eduardo TerceroD
- 3Luis SánchezD
- 37Walter ClarD
- 8Eugenio PizzutoM
- 25Martín FernándezM
- 19Luis CalzadillaM
- 9Luis PuenteF
- 7Jhojan JulioF
- 34Edgar JiménezM
- 17Leonardo MejíaM
- 21Javier IbarraM
- 199Santiago GarciaD
- 16José GonzálezM
- 22Roberto BarraganG
- 27Armando EscobarD
- 23Axl PadillaD
- 184Rubén CoubertF
- 30Rodolfo CotaG
- 34Dagoberto EspinozaD
- 29Ramón JuárezD
- 32Miguel VazquezD
- 5Kevin ÁlvarezD
- 28Erick SánchezM
- 27ÍcaroM
- 12Isaías ViolanteM
- 23Raphael VeigaM
- 26Cristián BorjaM
- 9Henry MartínF
- 20Alexis GutiérrezM
- 33Patricio SalasF
- 189Alejandro CardenasF
- 24Franco RossanoD
- 21Fernando TapiaG
- 2Emilio LaraD
- 186Osvaldo ArriagaM
- 240Ricardo GonzálezM
- 191Adrián FernándezF
Form going into Atlante FC vs Club America
Atlante FC
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Necaxa17 July 2026
Club America
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Club Queretaro19 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Atlante FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 |
| 1 | Club America | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 34 | 19 | +15 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Atlante FC and Club America
Atlante FC
No player in Liga MX's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Club America
GoalsAssists
- H. Martín83
- M. Borja60
- B. Rodríguez53
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Atlante FC and Club America drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Club America at 68% and given a draw 15%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 7 matches like this one. The goals: C. Borja 21' for Club America, E. Pizzuto 65' for Atlante FC. On expected goals it finished 0.74–1.57.