Atlante FC vs Club America Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Atlante FC 1-1 Club America.
Before kick-off the model made it 17% Atlante FC, 15% draw, 68% Club America — fair odds of 5.88, 6.67 and 1.47. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-3.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Club America at 68% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 275 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Atlante FC vs Club America
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Óscar JiménezG
- 29Walter PortalesD
- 6Nicolas CarreraD
- 4Eduardo TerceroD
- 3Luis SánchezD
- 37Walter ClarD
- 8Eugenio PizzutoM
- 25Martín FernándezM
- 19Luis CalzadillaM
- 9Luis PuenteF
- 7Jhojan JulioF
- 34Edgar JiménezM
- 17Leonardo MejíaM
- 21Javier IbarraM
- 199Santiago GarciaD
- 16José GonzálezM
- 22Roberto BarraganG
- 27Armando EscobarD
- 23Axl PadillaD
- 184Rubén CoubertF
- 30Rodolfo CotaG
- 34Dagoberto EspinozaD
- 29Ramón JuárezD
- 32Miguel VazquezD
- 5Kevin ÁlvarezD
- 28Erick SánchezM
- 27ÍcaroM
- 12Isaías ViolanteM
- 23Raphael VeigaM
- 26Cristián BorjaM
- 9Henry MartínF
- 20Alexis GutiérrezM
- 33Patricio SalasF
- 189Alejandro CardenasF
- 24Franco RossanoD
- 21Fernando TapiaG
- 2Emilio LaraD
- 186Osvaldo ArriagaM
- 240Ricardo GonzálezM
- 191Adrián FernándezF
Form going into Atlante FC vs Club America
Atlante FC
- L1-2away to Necaxa17 July 2026
Club America
- W1-0away to Club Queretaro19 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Atlante FC | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
| 3 | Club America | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Atlante FC vs Club America
- 25 July 2026Atlante FC 1–1 Club AmericaLiga MX
Leading scorers: Atlante FC and Club America
Atlante FC
No player in Liga MX's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Club America
- H. Martín3 goals1 assists
- B. Rodríguez3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.