Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 SC Freiburg.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Eintracht Frankfurt, 31% draw, 34% SC Freiburg — fair odds of 2.86, 3.23 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Eintracht Frankfurt at 35% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg
Line-ups
- 1N. AtuboluG
- 2Elias BaumD
- 4R. KochD
- 3L. BrassierD
- 26K. KosugiD
- 20R. DōanM
- 15N. Aséko NkiliM
- 25R. OnyedikaM
- 42C. UzunM
- 11Y. EbnoutalibF
- 9J. BurkardtF
- 7A. KnauffF
- 40Kauã SantosG
- 22T. ChandlerD
- 34N. CollinsD
- 35M. PimpongF
- 5OtávioD
- 29A. AmaimouniF
- 27M. GötzeM
- 6O. HøjlundM
- 1M. BackhausG
- 29P. TreuD
- 28M. GinterD
- 3P. LienhartD
- 33J. MakengoD
- 8M. EggesteinM
- 16Y. EngelhardtM
- 19J. BesteM
- 14Y. SuzukiM
- 7D. ScherhantM
- 31I. MatanovićF
- 27Berkay YilmazD
- 42K. GotoF
- 32V. GrifoM
- 30C. GünterD
- 9L. HölerF
- 22Cyriaque Kalou IriéF
- 17L. KüblerD
- 21F. MüllerG
- 37M. RosenfelderD
Form going into Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bundesliga
- W3-1away to FSV Mainz 0512 September 2026
SC Freiburg
Bundesliga
- W5-0Borussia Mönchengladbach12 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg
- 1 March 2026Eintracht Frankfurt 2–0 SC FreiburgBundesliga
- 19 October 2025SC Freiburg 2–2 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
- 17 May 2025SC Freiburg 1–3 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
- 14 January 2025Eintracht Frankfurt 4–1 SC FreiburgBundesliga
- 18 February 2024SC Freiburg 3–3 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
Leading scorers: Eintracht Frankfurt and SC Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
GoalsAssists
- Y. Ebnoutalib51
- J. Burkardt31
SC Freiburg
GoalsAssists
- Y. Suzuki40
- I. Matanović31
- M. Eggestein30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Eintracht Frankfurt and SC Freiburg drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Eintracht Frankfurt at 35% and given a draw 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Younes Ebnoutalib 10' for Eintracht Frankfurt, Derry Lionel Scherhant 34' for SC Freiburg, Jonathan Burkardt 36' for Eintracht Frankfurt, Yuito Suzuki 48' for SC Freiburg.
How the call on Eintracht Frankfurt v SC Freiburg has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 42% / 29% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 35% / 31% / 34%: the biggest move is Eintracht Frankfurt's chance of winning, down 7 points.
- Eintracht Frankfurt win35%▼ −7
- Draw31%▲ +2
- SC Freiburg win34%▲ +5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.