Zemun vs Železničar Pančevo Super Liga prediction & result
Final score: Zemun 0-3 Železničar Pančevo.
Before kick-off the model made it 22% Zemun, 27% draw, 51% Železničar Pančevo — fair odds of 4.55, 3.70 and 1.96.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Železničar Pančevo at 51%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Zemun vs Železničar Pančevo
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1M. KneževićG
- 11S. KnezevicD
- 21I. OstojićD
- 66V. BakićD
- 88A. KadijevićD
- 8O. IlićM
- 23M. JokićM
- 7Dimitrije TabakovićM
- 19G. VadzeM
- 14N. DovedanM
- 45M. ŠarićF
- 15O. StoimenovskiD
- 9N. PetrusicF
- 25D. ParađinaD
- 29A. MilosevicD
- 27U. LjubomiracM
- 31N. KalatM
- 99M. DubljanićG
- 10N. BelakovićF
- 20D. PetrovicM
- 1Z. PopovićG
- 19U. TegeltijaD
- 6M. MilikićD
- 5N. VidojevićD
- 33N. ĐuričićD
- 20J. JevremovićM
- 95S. PlavšićM
- 88C. LhernaultM
- 77K. ŠekularacM
- 10S. PedroM
- 21D. AnkeyeF
- 7M. ĆurićM
- 12A. YusifD
- 11N. JovanovićF
- 17A. KuljaninF
- 66J. MiladinovićG
- 63S. ObradovićD
- 27M. PantovićM
- 47Yassin SbaiF
- 26M. Amadou SaboM
Form going into Zemun vs Železničar Pančevo
Zemun
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Novi Pazar19 September 2026
- D1-1Radnik Surdulica14 September 2026
- L1-2away to Vojvodina6 September 2026
- L0-2FK Crvena Zvezda30 August 2026
- L0-1away to OFK Beograd22 August 2026
Železničar Pančevo
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Cukaricki20 September 2026
- L1-2FK Crvena Zvezda17 September 2026
- W2-0Macva11 September 2026
- L0-2away to Novi Pazar4 September 2026
- W5-1Radnik Surdulica29 August 2026
What these results say
- Zemun did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Zemun conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Železničar Pančevo scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Železničar Pančevo conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serbia Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Zemun | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 29 | -21 | 7 |
| 3 | Železničar Pančevo | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | +12 | 29 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Zemun vs Železničar Pančevo
- 24 June 2026Železničar Pančevo 3–3 ZemunFriendlies Clubs
- 13 March 2021Zemun 0–2 Železničar PančevoPrva Liga
- 4 September 2020Železničar Pančevo 2–0 ZemunPrva Liga
Leading scorers: Zemun and Železničar Pančevo
Zemun
No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Železničar Pančevo
GoalsAssists
- D. Ankeye50
- K. Kwaku42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Železničar Pančevo won 3–0 at Zemun. The model had made a win for Železničar Pančevo its most likely outcome, at 51%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Simão Pedro 45' for Železničar Pančevo, Srđan Plavšić 56' for Železničar Pančevo, David Akpan Ankeye 73' for Železničar Pančevo. On expected goals it finished 0.89–2.97.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Zemun a 95.0% chance to finish in the bottom three: 90.8% after a win, 94.9% after a draw, 97.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 97.2%, 2.2 points higher than before the match.
For Železničar Pančevo the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 45.5% going in: 51.2% after a win, 41.3% after a draw, 34.1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 51.2%, 5.7 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Zemun v Železničar Pančevo has moved
First published on 26 Sep at 24% / 29% / 47% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 22% / 27% / 51%: the biggest move is Železničar Pančevo's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Zemun win22%▼ −2
- Draw27%▼ −2
- Železničar Pančevo win51%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.