Granada CF vs Albacete Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Granada CF 1-1 Albacete.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Granada CF, 24% draw, 21% Albacete — fair odds of 1.82, 4.17 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Segunda División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Granada CF at 55% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Granada CF vs Albacete
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13R. LizoainG
- 18S. LopezD
- 5M. LamaD
- 23B. GimberD
- 16D. Varela PampinD
- 6G. GumbauM
- 4R. AlcarazM
- 8P. AlemanM
- 36O. M. ChukwuemekaF
- 9A. MarquesF
- 11J. M. ArnaizF
- 1A. FloresG
- 2P. CasadesusD
- 30JuanjoD
- 35B. DembeleD
- 33A. GarciaD
- 27M. Jimenez GambinM
- 32D. RodriguezM
- 34M. MazaM
- 10J. PascualF
- 1C. MarinG
- 2LorenzoD
- 5J. MorenoD
- 22L. LopezD
- 21C. NevaD
- 18S. OrtunoM
- 8J. VillarM
- 17J. CorpasM
- 32A. AlbarracinM
- 4Agus MedinaM
- 9M. SoberonF
- 13D. MarinoG
- 15F. GamezD
- 27D. BernabeuD
- 28A. VelillaD
- 6A. PachecoM
- 44Antonio DavidM
- 33T. InglesF
- 12H. MarinF
- 11V. ValverdeF
Form going into Granada CF vs Albacete
Granada CF
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to Eibar6 September 2026
- W3-1away to Cordoba30 August 2026
- W2-0Mallorca24 August 2026
- D0-0away to Oviedo15 August 2026
Albacete
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Castellón6 September 2026
- L0-1Oviedo29 August 2026
- L1-2Real Sociedad II22 August 2026
- L1-2away to Las Palmas16 August 2026
What these results say
- Albacete did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Albacete conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Granada CF | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 14 | +4 | 20 |
| 22 | Albacete | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 22 | -14 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Granada CF vs Albacete
- 19 April 2026Albacete 4–1 Granada CFSegunda División
- 21 December 2025Granada CF 1–1 AlbaceteSegunda División
- 13 April 2025Albacete 0–2 Granada CFSegunda División
- 15 August 2024Granada CF 1–2 AlbaceteSegunda División
- 18 March 2023Albacete 1–2 Granada CFSegunda División
- 18 November 2022Granada CF 4–0 AlbaceteSegunda División
Leading scorers: Granada CF and Albacete
Granada CF
GoalsAssists
- Jorge Pascual40
Albacete
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Granada CF and Albacete drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Granada CF at 55% and given a draw 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: O. M. Chukwuemeka 50' for Granada CF, H. Marin (penalty) 81' for Albacete. On expected goals it finished 0.95–1.21.
How the call on Granada CF v Albacete has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 46% / 28% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 55% / 24% / 21%: the biggest move is Granada CF's chance of winning, up 9 points.
- Granada CF win55%▲ +9
- Draw24%▼ −4
- Albacete win21%▼ −5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.