FC Andorra vs Real Sociedad II Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: FC Andorra 1-3 Real Sociedad II.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% FC Andorra, 29% draw, 35% Real Sociedad II — fair odds of 2.78, 3.45 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Segunda División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Andorra at 36% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Andorra vs Real Sociedad II
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13P. LopezG
- 17T. CarriqueD
- 5M. Bombardo PoyatoD
- 3L. M. SpatzD
- 20M. VilaD
- 8E. AkmanM
- 14S. MolinaM
- 6H. SolozabalM
- 29H. LopezF
- 27S. Golubovic
- 21M. SidibeF
- 25J. OwonoG
- 23D. AlendeD
- 18A. LopezD
- 2J. SebastianD
- 19Quintana NachoM
- 10M. DomenechM
- 22D. DiazM
- 16R. SchneiderM
- 15J. CanoM
- 1A. FragaG
- 22I. RuperezD
- 29I. RoperoD
- 5K. KitaD
- 23U. AgoteD
- 16G. GorosabelM
- 14T. CarbonellM
- 6A. LebarbierM
- 7D. DiazF
- 18G. CarreraF
- 17L. AstiazaranF
- 32L. OlasagastiG
- 2J. GarroD
- 26B. IsasaD
- 30P. VazquezD
- 21J. EceizabarrenaM
- 12J. OleagaM
- 8I. AguirreM
- 10A. MariezkurrenaF
- 34A. AdjabengF
Form going into FC Andorra vs Real Sociedad II
FC Andorra
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Valladolid5 September 2026
- L0-1Eibar30 August 2026
- L2-4away to Celta de Vigo II24 August 2026
- W5-1AD Ceuta FC15 August 2026
Real Sociedad II
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Tenerife5 September 2026
- D2-2away to Burgos31 August 2026
- W2-1away to Albacete22 August 2026
- L0-1Castellón14 August 2026
What these results say
- FC Andorra conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- FC Andorra failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Real Sociedad II conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Real Sociedad II failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Real Sociedad II scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | FC Andorra | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 10 |
| 20 | Real Sociedad II | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Andorra vs Real Sociedad II
- 7 February 2026FC Andorra 1–2 Real Sociedad IISegunda División
- 11 October 2025Real Sociedad II 3–0 FC AndorraSegunda División
- 13 April 2025Real Sociedad II 2–1 FC AndorraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
- 27 October 2024FC Andorra 1–1 Real Sociedad IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Leading scorers: FC Andorra and Real Sociedad II
FC Andorra
GoalsAssists
- Jordi Cano52
Real Sociedad II
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Real Sociedad II won 3–1 at FC Andorra. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Andorra at 36% and given a win for Real Sociedad II 35%. The goals: D. Diaz 11' for Real Sociedad II, L. Astiazaran 34' for Real Sociedad II, I. Ruperez 41' for Real Sociedad II, Lauti 70' for FC Andorra. On expected goals it finished 2.76–2.08.
How the call on FC Andorra v Real Sociedad II has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 38% / 29% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 36% / 29% / 35%: the biggest move is FC Andorra's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- FC Andorra win36%▼ −2
- Draw29%=
- Real Sociedad II win35%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.