Gobelins
vs
RED Star FC 93
Coupe de France prediction
Our model says: Gobelins 0–1 RED Star FC 93
The model makes it 23% Gobelins, 27% draw, 50% RED Star FC 93 — fair odds of 4.35, 3.70 and 2.00.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Gobelins 0.92, RED Star FC 93 1.64.
Both teams to score: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 47%, under 2.5: 53%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 59% of the time, over 1,726 settled matches.
One-sided: RED Star FC 93 are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 31 October 2026. Gobelins's rating is built from 42 Ligue 3 matches and RED Star FC 93's from 44 Ligue 2 matches, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Gobelins are 10th in Ligue 3 on 15 points from 10 games; RED Star FC 93 are 6th in Ligue 2 on 17 points from 10 games.
- Gobelins have won 2 of their last 5 Ligue 3 games, most recently a 3-1 win at home to Rouen.
- RED Star FC 93 have won 3 of their last 5 Ligue 2 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to Montpellier.
- Last 2 meetings: level at 1 win each, 0 draws; the most recent, 28 March 2023, ended Gobelins 0–1 RED Star FC 93.
More Coupe de France predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Gobelins vs RED Star FC 93
Has the model earned this number?
RED Star FC 93 at 50%: of 1,310 settled 50–65% forecasts, 57.0% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Gobelins vs RED Star FC 93
Gobelins
Ligue 3
- W3-1Rouen17 October 2026
- L1-2away to Concarneau3 October 2026
- W1-0Bastia26 September 2026
- D1-1Bourg-en-bresse 0119 September 2026
- L0-2away to Caen12 September 2026
RED Star FC 93
Ligue 2
- L1-2away to Montpellier26 October 2026
- L0-1Saint Etienne17 October 2026
- W3-2away to Clermont Foot10 October 2026
- W3-1away to Guingamp19 September 2026
- W1-0Metz14 September 2026
What these results say
- Gobelins scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Gobelins conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- RED Star FC 93 scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- RED Star FC 93 conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Gobelins vs RED Star FC 93
- 28 March 2023Gobelins 0–1 RED Star FC 93Ligue 3
- 12 September 2022RED Star FC 93 0–2 GobelinsLigue 3
Leading scorers: Gobelins and RED Star FC 93
Gobelins
No player in Ligue 3's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
RED Star FC 93
GoalsAssists
- D. Durand50
- J. Ikanga A Ngele42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives RED Star FC 93 the highest probability at 50%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.92 expected goals for Gobelins against 1.64 for RED Star FC 93. Gobelins's attack/defence rating is 0.38/1.94 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.7/1.49 for RED Star FC 93.
How the model reaches 50% for RED Star FC 93 to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for RED Star FC 93 to win. Then home advantage takes away 7 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Gobelins's ratings add 10 points and RED Star FC 93's ratings add 12 points, which lands on the published 50%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage29%−7
- Both sides at this match's level28%−1
- Gobelins's ratings38%+10
- RED Star FC 93's ratings50%+12
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Gobelins at home · RED Star FC 93 away
League matches only, this season — Gobelins in the Ligue 3, RED Star FC 93 in the Ligue 2; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All league matches this season: Gobelins 10 in the Ligue 3, RED Star FC 93 10 in the Ligue 2.
Gobelins score most often in the 61–75 minute window (5 goals); RED Star FC 93 have let in 1 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Gobelins
- at Le Puy Foot21 Nov · Ligue 3win 21%
- vs Versailles5 Dec · Ligue 3win 32%
- at Amiens12 Dec · Ligue 3win 15%
- vs Cannes16 Jan · Ligue 3win 27%
RED Star FC 93
- vs PAU20 Nov · Ligue 2win 43%
- at Dunkerque4 Dec · Ligue 2win 35%
- vs Grenoble11 Dec · Ligue 2win 51%
- at Rodez2 Jan · Ligue 2win 34%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.