Girona vs Mallorca Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Girona 0-0 Mallorca.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Girona, 30% draw, 31% Mallorca — fair odds of 2.56, 3.33 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Segunda División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Girona at 39%: of 4,355 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.5% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Girona vs Mallorca
Line-ups
- 13P. GazzanigaG
- 4J. BonarD
- 5D. LopezD
- 16A. FrancesD
- 11A. MorenoD
- 14I. MoranteM
- 24I. GonzalezM
- 23C. PerezM
- 6D. van de BeekM
- 36J. SarasaM
- 9A. RuizF
- 25V. KrapyvtsovG
- 3M. MoreyD
- 2A. MuminD
- 33M. FurtadoD
- 8F. BeltranM
- 35M. HamonyF
- 29L. KouroumaM
- 30U. HernandezM
- 10PortuF
- 1A. TenasG
- 15J. DonaldD
- 21A. RailloD
- 22A. SoumahoroD
- 5A. MorenoD
- 6A. SanchezM
- 17A. PuigmalM
- 20P. TorreM
- 7A. SalaM
- 16A. BuksaF
- 18A. FuentesF
- 25Pichu CuellarG
- 37A. Dols Cabot
- 3T. LatoD
- 4D. LopezD
- 34M. CalatayudD
- 10S. DarderM
- 2G. FernandezM
- 9A. PratsF
- 30J. KalumbaF
Form going into Girona vs Mallorca
Girona
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Albacete25 September 2026
- W2-1away to Cadiz19 September 2026
- L1-2Castellón12 September 2026
- W2-0away to Sporting Gijon5 September 2026
- W5-2Las Palmas29 August 2026
Mallorca
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Almeria27 September 2026
- W1-0away to Real Sociedad II19 September 2026
- W2-0Sabadell13 September 2026
- D0-0away to Eldense5 September 2026
- W3-0AD Ceuta FC30 August 2026
What these results say
- Girona scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Girona won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Mallorca kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Mallorca had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Girona | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 11 | +11 | 21 |
| 5 | Mallorca | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Girona vs Mallorca
- 1 May 2026Girona 0–1 MallorcaLa Liga
- 4 January 2026Mallorca 1–2 GironaLa Liga
- 5 May 2025Girona 1–0 MallorcaLa Liga
- 14 December 2024Mallorca 2–1 GironaLa Liga
- 3 March 2024Mallorca 1–0 GironaLa Liga
Leading scorers: Girona and Mallorca
Girona
GoalsAssists
- V. Vanat52
- Y. Asprilla51
Mallorca
GoalsAssists
- Fuentes71
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Girona and Mallorca drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Girona at 39% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.
How the call on Girona v Mallorca has moved
First published on 20 Sep at 45% / 28% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 39% / 30% / 31%: the biggest move is Girona's chance of winning, down 6 points.
- Girona win39%▼ −6
- Draw30%▲ +2
- Mallorca win31%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.