16 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Girona vs Leganes Segunda División prediction & result

Estadio Municipal de Montilivi, Girona
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Girona 1-1 Leganes.

Before kick-off the model made it 71% Girona, 19% draw, 10% Leganes — fair odds of 1.41, 5.26 and 10.00.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Girona at 71%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Girona0%Draw6%Leganes94%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Min-su Kim
40'
43'
Marvel
48'
⚽N. Garcia
🔁I. Martinout: A. Ruiz
58'
61'
🔁I. Gharbiout: R. Pena
61'
🔁Y. Kechtaout: U. del Cura
61'
🔁P. Sokoout: A. Millan
Fran Beltrán
65'
🔁B. Gilout: Y. Asprilla
68'
🔁M. Kimout: C. Stuani
68'
🔁D. Camaraout: G. Jastin
68'
68'
🔁A. Tejeroout: D. Rodriguez
🔁out: I. Gonzalez
81'
85'
🔁M. Atienzaout: R. Pulido
87'
Ignasi Miquel
90+5'
Rubén Pulido
⚽A. Ruiz
90'

Match stats — Girona vs Leganes

69%Possession31%
27Shots5
7On target3
9Corners0

Line-ups

Girona 4-1-4-1
  • 13P. GazzanigaG
  • 4A. MartinezD
  • 16A. FrancesD
  • 38J. ArangoD
  • 11A. MorenoD
  • 8F. BeltranM
  • 17B. GilM
  • 23I. MartinM
  • 14I. MoranteM
  • 20M. KimM
  • 12D. CamaraF
Substitutes
  • 25V. KrapyvtsovG
  • 28G. JordanaD
  • 39G. BadiaD
  • 35A. YaakobishviliD
  • 15V. TsygankovF
  • 29L. KouroumaM
  • 22Y. AsprillaM
  • 24I. GonzalezM
  • 7C. StuaniF
Coach: Quique Alvarez
Leganes 5-4-1
  • 1R. FernandezG
  • 11N. GarciaD
  • 6G. Aguilar LopezD
  • 5I. MiquelD
  • 2MarvelD
  • 23A. TejeroD
  • 8Y. KechtaM
  • 10Z. BuurmeesterM
  • 20M. AtienzaM
  • 17I. GharbiM
  • 19P. SokoF
Substitutes
  • 13L. ZidaneG
  • 31N. LozanoG
  • 7R. PenaD
  • 4R. PulidoD
  • 29D. HamansenyaD
  • 28B. AugusteD
  • 14D. RodriguezM
  • 48U. del CuraF
  • 9A. MillanF
Coach: Ruben Albes

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Girona136342212+1021
18Leganes133371123-1212

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Girona vs Leganes

  • 24 April 2025Leganes 1–1 GironaLa Liga
  • 2 November 2024Girona 4–3 LeganesLa Liga
  • 27 February 2022Leganes 1–1 GironaSegunda División
  • 6 December 2021Girona 3–0 LeganesSegunda División
  • 7 February 2021Girona 0–2 LeganesSegunda División

Leading scorers: Girona and Leganes

Girona

GoalsAssists

  • V. Vanat52
  • Y. Asprilla51

Leganes

No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Girona and Leganes drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Girona at 71% and given a draw 19%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: N. Garcia 48' for Leganes, A. Ruiz 90' for Girona.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.