Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Tigre Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1-0 Tigre.
Before kick-off the model made it 24% Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, 39% draw, 37% Tigre — fair odds of 4.17, 2.56 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts the draw at 39% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Tigre
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Lucas BrueraG
- 31Matias ValentiD
- 30Sergio OjedaD
- 29Agustin QuirogaD
- 14Gonzalo GonzalezM
- 13Francisco RomeroM
- 8Siro RosaneM
- 28Facundo CobosM
- 10Tomas GonzalezF
- 22Mauro ValienteF
- 16Yeison MorenoF
- 27Juan GarroF
- 9Javier FerreiraF
- 23Fernando RodríguezD
- 19Nicolás TalponeM
- 40Francesco Lo CelsoM
- 43Agustín LastraG
- 45Raúl LozanoD
- 86Matías PagliaricciD
- 26Ezequiel ForclazM
- 12Felipe ZenobioG
- 17Guillermo SotoD
- 20Alan BarrionuevoD
- 32Juan VillalbaD
- 24Federico ÁlvarezD
- 27Santiago GonzálezM
- 8Martín GarayM
- 11Tiago SerragoM
- 33Elías CabreraM
- 21Sebastián MedinaM
- 19Alfio OviedoF
- 30Jalil EliasM
- 28Gonzalo MartínezM
- 29Ignacio RussoF
- 22Santiago LópezF
- 50Ignacio PeluffoF
- 1Luka FusterG
- 4Valentín MorenoD
- 2Joaquín LasoD
- 3Nahuel BanegasD
Head-to-head: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Tigre
- 26 January 2026Tigre 2–0 Estudiantes de Rio CuartoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 17 August 2021Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0–0 TigrePrimera Nacional
- 3 April 2021Tigre 1–0 Estudiantes de Rio CuartoPrimera Nacional
Leading scorers: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and Tigre
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
No leading scorers listed yet.
Tigre
- I. Russo7 goals3 assists
- D. Romero7 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.