Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Tigre Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1-0 Tigre.
Before kick-off the model made it 24% Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, 39% draw, 37% Tigre — fair odds of 4.17, 2.56 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts the draw at 39% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Tigre
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Lucas BrueraG
- 31Matias ValentiD
- 30Sergio OjedaD
- 29Agustin QuirogaD
- 14Gonzalo GonzalezM
- 13Francisco RomeroM
- 8Siro RosaneM
- 28Facundo CobosM
- 10Tomas GonzalezF
- 22Mauro ValienteF
- 16Yeison MorenoF
- 27Juan GarroF
- 9Javier FerreiraF
- 23Fernando RodríguezD
- 19Nicolás TalponeM
- 40Francesco Lo CelsoM
- 43Agustín LastraG
- 45Raúl LozanoD
- 86Matías PagliaricciD
- 26Ezequiel ForclazM
- 12Felipe ZenobioG
- 17Guillermo SotoD
- 20Alan BarrionuevoD
- 32Juan VillalbaD
- 24Federico ÁlvarezD
- 27Santiago GonzálezM
- 8Martín GarayM
- 11Tiago SerragoM
- 33Elías CabreraM
- 21Sebastián MedinaM
- 19Alfio OviedoF
- 30Jalil EliasM
- 28Gonzalo MartínezM
- 29Ignacio RussoF
- 22Santiago LópezF
- 50Ignacio PeluffoF
- 1Luka FusterG
- 4Valentín MorenoD
- 2Joaquín LasoD
- 3Nahuel BanegasD
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
| 12 | Tigre | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Tigre
- 26 January 2026Tigre 2–0 Estudiantes de Rio CuartoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 17 August 2021Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0–0 TigrePrimera Nacional
- 3 April 2021Tigre 1–0 Estudiantes de Rio CuartoPrimera Nacional
Leading scorers: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and Tigre
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Tigre
GoalsAssists
- I. Russo83
- M. Méndez73
- D. Romero72
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto beat Tigre 1–0. The model had leaned towards a draw at 39% and given a win for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: S. Ojeda 70' for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto. On expected goals it finished 1.12–1.17.