24 July 2026, 17:00 UTC

Vasteras SK FK vs Orgryte IS Allsvenskan prediction & result

Hitachi Energy Arena, Vasteras
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Vasteras SK FK 2-0 Orgryte IS.

Before kick-off the model made it 73% Vasteras SK FK, 16% draw, 11% Orgryte IS — fair odds of 1.37, 6.25 and 9.09. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Vasteras SK FK at 73% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 275 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽T. Axel
13'
21'
🔁C. Styffeout: M. Parker
57'
🔁D. Paulsonout: J. Tibbling
58'
🔁W. Hofvanderout: A. Andreasson
⚽T. Axel
59'
🔁M. Baggesenout: J. Karlsson
65'
🔁M. Keitaout: V. Wernersson
65'
🔁I. Lushakuout: M. Hellisdal
79'
🔁M. Ladefogedout: B. Lendambi
79'
83'
Owen Parker-Price
88'
🔁S. Lagerlundout: M. Ebietomere

Match stats — Vasteras SK FK vs Orgryte IS

57%Possession43%
15Shots13
7On target2
2Corners5

Line-ups

Vasteras SK FK 3-4-3
  • 34E. JagerG
  • 2H. MagnussonD
  • 4P. BondeD
  • 28M. KeitaD
  • 11S. GefvertM
  • 8M. DiagneM
  • 14I. LushakuM
  • 3M. BaggesenM
  • 5K. GunnarssonF
  • 9M. LadefogedF
  • 17T. AxelF
Substitutes
  • 1A. FagerstromG
  • 19J. MagnussonM
  • 15J. KarlssonD
  • 20M. LjungqvistD
  • 21V. WernerssonM
  • 7A. BoudahF
  • 30M. Hellisdal
  • 16B. LendambiF
  • 24J. TagessonD
Coach: Alexander Rubin
Orgryte IS 3-4-3
  • 44H. GustafssonG
  • 33S. LagerlundD
  • 6M. DyrestamD
  • 5C. StyffeD
  • 18A. AnderssonM
  • 23O. Parker-PriceM
  • 8B. Laturnus
  • 14D. PaulsonM
  • 22T. SanaF
  • 11N. ChristofferssonF
  • 17W. HofvanderF
Substitutes
  • 34A. RahmG
  • 3J. AzulayD
  • 21W. KenndalM
  • 19A. AndreassonD
  • 15J. TibblingF
  • 16H. DahlqvistD
  • 7C. VindehallM
  • 2M. ParkerD
  • 29M. EbietomereD
Coach: Andreas Holmberg

Form going into Vasteras SK FK vs Orgryte IS

Vasteras SK FK

  • D0-0away to Mjallby AIF17 July 2026

Orgryte IS

  • D0-0Djurgardens IF20 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Vasteras SK FK219573235-332
15Orgryte IS2136122447-2315

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Vasteras SK FK vs Orgryte IS

  • 24 July 2026Vasteras SK FK 2–0 Orgryte ISAllsvenskan
  • 24 October 2025Orgryte IS 0–2 Vasteras SK FKSuperettan
  • 8 April 2025Vasteras SK FK 1–1 Orgryte ISSuperettan
  • 4 November 2023Orgryte IS 1–0 Vasteras SK FKSuperettan
  • 10 April 2023Vasteras SK FK 0–0 Orgryte ISSuperettan
  • 27 August 2022Vasteras SK FK 1–1 Orgryte ISSuperettan

Leading scorers: Vasteras SK FK and Orgryte IS

Vasteras SK FK

  • M. Ladefoged9 goals2 assists
  • A. Taonsa6 goals

Orgryte IS

  • N. Christoffersson8 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.