24 July 2026, 16:00 UTC

Radomiak Radom vs Wieczysta Kraków Ekstraklasa prediction & result

Stadion im. Braci Czachorów, Radom
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Radomiak Radom 2-1 Wieczysta Kraków.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% Radomiak Radom, 26% draw, 27% Wieczysta Kraków — fair odds of 2.13, 3.85 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Radomiak Radom at 47% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
A. Djermanovic
8'
D. Dujmovic
Conrado
24'
A. Tapsoba
28'
29'
•S. Feiertag
33'
🔁D. Dujmovicout: A. Milic
39'
Miki Villar
⚽R. Alvesassist: J. Grzesik
43'
⚽J. Grzesikassist: Luquinhas
49'
57'
⚽S. Feiertagassist: Miki Villar
67'
B. Lederman
67'
🔁Miki Villarout: T. Christensen
68'
🔁L. Semedoout: T. Mras
🔁R. Wolskiout: K. Karasek
75'
🔁A. Tapsobaout: C. Donis
75'
79'
🔁B. Ledermanout: P. Pusic
79'
🔁S. Feiertagout: Paulinho
🔁I. Camaraout: C. Nunnely
84'
🔁Conradoout: F. Goure
84'
85'
M. Maigaard
🔁R. Alvesout: J. Blasco
89'
90+1'
M. Maigaard
90+1'
M. Maigaard
C. Donis
90+4'

Match stats — Radomiak Radom vs Wieczysta Kraków

42%Possession58%
12Shots13
4On target3
5Corners2
1.61xG2

Goals against chances

Radomiak Radom2 from 1.61 xGabout what the chances were worth
Wieczysta Kraków1 from 2.00 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Radomiak Radom 4-4-1-1
  • 1Filip MajchrowiczG
  • 24Zié OuattaraD
  • 3Kryspin SzcześniakD
  • 26Adrián DiéguezD
  • 97Conrado BuchanelliD
  • 13Jan GrzesikM
  • 10Roberto AlvesM
  • 8Ibrahima CamaráM
  • 82LuquinhasM
  • 27Rafał WolskiF
  • 15Abdoul TapsobaF
Substitutes
  • 99Bartlomiej GradeckiG
  • 47Szymon KilianekD
  • 5Jérémy BlascoD
  • 72Filip KoperskiM
  • 7Ché NunnelyF
  • 17Adam ŻabickiM
  • 77Christos DonisM
  • 11Fernand GouréF
  • 19Nicolas DohojdaM
Coach: Tomasz Kaczmarek
Wieczysta Kraków 4-3-3
  • 1Antoni MikułkoG
  • 4Karol FilaD
  • 15Aleksandar DjermanovicD
  • 55Duje DujmovićD
  • 27Matúš VojtkoD
  • 12Lucas PiazónM
  • 8Ben LedermanM
  • 20Mikkel MaigaardM
  • 23Miguel Villar MikiF
  • 18Stefan FeiertagF
  • 7Lisandro SemedoF
Substitutes
  • 16Antonio MilićD
  • 10Tobias ChristensenM
  • 97Tobiasz MrasM
  • 26Nikola ČavlinaG
  • 13Kacper ZagrodzkiD
  • 44Dawid SzymonowiczD
  • 17Kamil DankowskiD
  • 33Kamil PestkaD
  • 70Petar PušićM
Coach: Kazimierz Moskal

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Radomiak Radom8224615-98
17Wieczysta Kraków7115915-64

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Radomiak Radom vs Wieczysta Kraków

  • 24 July 2026Radomiak Radom 2–1 Wieczysta KrakówEkstraklasa

Leading scorers: Radomiak Radom and Wieczysta Kraków

Radomiak Radom

  • R. Wolski3 goals

Wieczysta Kraków

  • T. Christensen3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.