Radomiak Radom vs Wieczysta Kraków Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Radomiak Radom 2-1 Wieczysta Kraków.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Radomiak Radom, 26% draw, 27% Wieczysta Kraków — fair odds of 2.13, 3.85 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Radomiak Radom at 47% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Radomiak Radom vs Wieczysta Kraków
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Filip MajchrowiczG
- 24Zié OuattaraD
- 3Kryspin SzcześniakD
- 26Adrián DiéguezD
- 97Conrado BuchanelliD
- 13Jan GrzesikM
- 10Roberto AlvesM
- 8Ibrahima CamaráM
- 82LuquinhasM
- 27Rafał WolskiF
- 15Abdoul TapsobaF
- 99Bartlomiej GradeckiG
- 47Szymon KilianekD
- 5Jérémy BlascoD
- 72Filip KoperskiM
- 7Ché NunnelyF
- 17Adam ŻabickiM
- 77Christos DonisM
- 11Fernand GouréF
- 19Nicolas DohojdaM
- 1Antoni MikułkoG
- 4Karol FilaD
- 15Aleksandar DjermanovicD
- 55Duje DujmovićD
- 27Matúš VojtkoD
- 12Lucas PiazónM
- 8Ben LedermanM
- 20Mikkel MaigaardM
- 23Miguel Villar MikiF
- 18Stefan FeiertagF
- 7Lisandro SemedoF
- 16Antonio MilićD
- 10Tobias ChristensenM
- 97Tobiasz MrasM
- 26Nikola ČavlinaG
- 13Kacper ZagrodzkiD
- 44Dawid SzymonowiczD
- 17Kamil DankowskiD
- 33Kamil PestkaD
- 70Petar PušićM
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
| 16 | Wieczysta Kraków | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Radomiak Radom and Wieczysta Kraków
Radomiak Radom
No player in Ekstraklasa's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Wieczysta Kraków
GoalsAssists
- Lisandro Semedo40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Radomiak Radom beat Wieczysta Kraków 2–1. The model had made a win for Radomiak Radom its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: R. Alves 43' for Radomiak Radom, J. Grzesik 49' for Radomiak Radom, S. Feiertag 57' for Wieczysta Kraków. Sent off: M. Maigaard (Wieczysta Kraków) 90+1'. On expected goals it finished 1.61–2.00.