24 July 2026, 22:00 UTC

Velez Sarsfield vs Instituto Cordoba Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Jose Amalfitani, Buenos Aires
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Instituto Cordoba.

Before kick-off the model made it 29% Velez Sarsfield, 41% draw, 30% Instituto Cordoba — fair odds of 3.45, 2.44 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts the draw at 41% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

18'
Matías Gallardo
⚽Manuel Lanziniassist: Tobías Andrada
45+1'
45+2'
Fernando Alarcón
59'
🔁Gustavo Abregúout: Ignacio Méndez
🔁Matías Pellegriniout: Alex Verón
63'
66'
🔁Alex Lunaout: Jeremías Lázaro
66'
🔁Matías Tisseraout: Nicolás Guerra
Claudio Baeza
75'
76'
🔁Jhon Córdobaout: Facundo Suárez
76'
🔁Matías Gallardoout: Matías Fonseca
🔁Manuel Lanziniout: Diego Valdés
78'
🔁Claudio Baezaout: Lucas Robertone
78'
Thiago Silvero
79'
🔁Tobías Andradaout: Luca Feler
88'
🔁Florián Monzónout: Dilan Godoy
89'

Match stats — Velez Sarsfield vs Instituto Cordoba

58%Possession42%
7Shots18
4On target2
1Corners6
0.98xG3.51

Goals against chances

Velez Sarsfield1 from 0.98 xGabout what the chances were worth
Instituto Cordoba0 from 3.51 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Velez Sarsfield
  • 1Tomás MarchioriG
  • 4Joaquín GarcíaD
  • 32Thiago SilveroD
  • 16Lisandro MagallánD
  • 3Elías GómezD
  • 29Rodrigo AliendroM
  • 5Claudio BaezaM
  • 50Tobías AndradaM
  • 22Manuel LanziniM
  • 11Matías PellegriniM
  • 9Florián MonzónF
Substitutes
  • 17Alex VerónF
  • 8Lucas RobertoneM
  • 10Diego ValdésM
  • 48Luca FelerM
  • 15Dilan GodoyF
  • 42Agustin CortezG
  • 47Alexis PereyraD
  • 19Leo CristaldoD
  • 18Simon EscobarD
Coach: Guilermo Barros Schelotto
Instituto Cordoba
  • 29Marcos LedesmaG
  • 30Jonathan GalvánD
  • 26Leonel MosevichD
  • 6Fernando AlarcónD
  • 44Giuliano CeratoM
  • 55Gustavo AbregúM
  • 15Matías GallardoM
  • 3Diego Alejandro SosaM
  • 20Jhon CórdobaF
  • 10Alex LunaF
  • 17Matías TisseraF
Substitutes
  • 13Ignacio MéndezM
  • 21Jeremías LázaroM
  • 7Nicolás GuerraF
  • 11Matías FonsecaF
  • 9Facundo SuárezF
  • 35Emanuel SittaroG
  • 2Hernán de la FuenteD
  • 32Agustín BravoD
  • 22Agustín MassaccesiD
Coach: Diego Flores

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Velez Sarsfield9450127+517
1Instituto Cordoba9612106+419

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Velez Sarsfield vs Instituto Cordoba

  • 24 July 2026Velez Sarsfield 1–0 Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 23 January 2026Instituto Cordoba 0–1 Velez SarsfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 26 July 2025Velez Sarsfield 0–0 Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 3 February 2025Instituto Cordoba 2–0 Velez SarsfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 17 August 2024Velez Sarsfield 1–0 Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 17 March 2024Velez Sarsfield 1–0 Instituto CordobaCopa de la Liga Profesional

Leading scorers: Velez Sarsfield and Instituto Cordoba

Velez Sarsfield

  • M. Lanzini6 goals

Instituto Cordoba

No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.