24 July 2026, 22:00 UTC

Racing Club vs Gimnasia La Plata Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Presidente Peron, Cordoba
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Racing Club 2-1 Gimnasia La Plata.

Before kick-off the model made it 16% Racing Club, 30% draw, 54% Gimnasia La Plata — fair odds of 6.25, 3.33 and 1.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Gimnasia La Plata at 54% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Matko Miljevicassist: Santiago Solari
6'
Alejandro Tello
8'
32'
⚽Bautista Barros Schelotto
42'
⚽Marcelo Torres (pen)
42'
Mateo Seoane
45'
🔁Marcelo Torresout: Manuel Panaro
🔁Tomás Conechnyout: Lautaro Díaz
46'
46'
🔁Gonzalo Errecaldeout: Juan Cruz Cortazzo
🔁Pachaout: Ignacio Rodríguez
59'
🔁Alejandro Telloout: Ulises Ortegoza
59'
🔁Santiago Solariout: Duván Vergara
67'
⚽Nazareno Colomboassist: Matko Miljevic
69'
80'
🔁Bautista Barros Schelottoout: Alexis Steimbach
80'
🔁Juan Pérezout: Jeremías Merlo
🔁Matko Miljevicout: Matías Kranevitter
83'
88'
Agustín Auzmendi
90+2'
Renzo Giampaoli
90'
🔁Mateo Seoaneout: Franco Torres

Match stats — Racing Club vs Gimnasia La Plata

56%Possession44%
19Shots9
8On target5
4Corners3
1.22xG1.85

Goals against chances

Racing Club2 from 1.22 xGmore than the chances were worth
Gimnasia La Plata1 from 1.85 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Racing Club
  • 25Facundo CambesesG
  • 4Ezequiel CannavoD
  • 23Nazareno ColomboD
  • 43Gonzalo EscuderoD
  • 18PachaD
  • 11Matías ZarachoM
  • 13Santiago SosaM
  • 10Matko MiljevicM
  • 46Alejandro TelloM
  • 17Tomás ConechnyF
  • 28Santiago SolariF
Substitutes
  • 32Lautaro DíazF
  • 16Ulises OrtegozaM
  • 19Ignacio RodríguezM
  • 7Duván VergaraF
  • 5Matías KranevitterM
  • 30Matías TagliamonteG
  • 6Marcos RojoD
  • 38Mateo MartinezD
  • 15Gastón MartirenaD
Coach: Gustavo Costas
Gimnasia La Plata
  • 23Nelson InsfránG
  • 31Bautista Barros SchelottoD
  • 14Gonzalo ErrecaldeD
  • 4Renzo GiampaoliD
  • 24Pedro SilvaD
  • 5Ignacio MiramónM
  • 18Mateo SeoaneM
  • 20Juan PérezM
  • 8Nacho FernándezM
  • 32Marcelo TorresF
  • 29Agustín AuzmendiF
Substitutes
  • 7Manuel PanaroF
  • 35Juan Cruz CortazzoD
  • 25Alexis SteimbachM
  • 11Jeremías MerloM
  • 26Franco TorresF
  • 43Mariano OjedaD
  • 37Jeremías Ezequiel LangaD
  • 15Alejo GelsominoD
  • 16Augusto MaxM
Coach: Mariano Messera

Head-to-head: Racing Club vs Gimnasia La Plata

  • 24 July 2026Racing Club 2–1 Gimnasia La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 24 January 2026Gimnasia La Plata 2–1 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 10 August 2024Racing Club 0–1 Gimnasia La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 8 April 2023Gimnasia La Plata 3–1 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 20 June 2022Gimnasia La Plata 3–1 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 13 February 2022Racing Club 0–0 Gimnasia La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina

Leading scorers: Racing Club and Gimnasia La Plata

Racing Club

No leading scorers listed yet.

Gimnasia La Plata

  • M. Torres8 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.