Racing Club vs Gimnasia La Plata Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Racing Club 2-1 Gimnasia La Plata.
Before kick-off the model made it 16% Racing Club, 30% draw, 54% Gimnasia La Plata — fair odds of 6.25, 3.33 and 1.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gimnasia La Plata at 54% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Racing Club vs Gimnasia La Plata
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25Facundo CambesesG
- 4Ezequiel CannavoD
- 23Nazareno ColomboD
- 43Gonzalo EscuderoD
- 18PachaD
- 11Matías ZarachoM
- 13Santiago SosaM
- 10Matko MiljevicM
- 46Alejandro TelloM
- 17Tomás ConechnyF
- 28Santiago SolariF
- 32Lautaro DíazF
- 16Ulises OrtegozaM
- 19Ignacio RodríguezM
- 7Duván VergaraF
- 5Matías KranevitterM
- 30Matías TagliamonteG
- 6Marcos RojoD
- 38Mateo MartinezD
- 15Gastón MartirenaD
- 23Nelson InsfránG
- 31Bautista Barros SchelottoD
- 14Gonzalo ErrecaldeD
- 4Renzo GiampaoliD
- 24Pedro SilvaD
- 5Ignacio MiramónM
- 18Mateo SeoaneM
- 20Juan PérezM
- 8Nacho FernándezM
- 32Marcelo TorresF
- 29Agustín AuzmendiF
- 7Manuel PanaroF
- 35Juan Cruz CortazzoD
- 25Alexis SteimbachM
- 11Jeremías MerloM
- 26Franco TorresF
- 43Mariano OjedaD
- 37Jeremías Ezequiel LangaD
- 15Alejo GelsominoD
- 16Augusto MaxM
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Racing Club | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 12 |
| 3 | Gimnasia La Plata | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | +3 | 25 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Racing Club vs Gimnasia La Plata
- 24 January 2026Gimnasia La Plata 2–1 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
- 10 August 2024Racing Club 0–1 Gimnasia La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
- 8 April 2023Gimnasia La Plata 3–1 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
- 20 June 2022Gimnasia La Plata 3–1 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
- 13 February 2022Racing Club 0–0 Gimnasia La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Racing Club and Gimnasia La Plata
Racing Club
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Gimnasia La Plata
GoalsAssists
- M. Torres92
- A. Auzmendi73
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Racing Club beat Gimnasia La Plata 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Gimnasia La Plata at 54% and given a win for Racing Club 16%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one. The goals: Matko Miljevic 6' for Racing Club, Bautista Barros Schelotto 32' for Gimnasia La Plata, Nazareno Colombo 69' for Racing Club. On expected goals it finished 1.22–1.85.