24 July 2026, 15:30 UTC

Uta Arad vs Oțelul Liga I prediction & result

Stadionul Francisc von Neumann, Arad
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Uta Arad 2-2 Oțelul.

Before kick-off the model made it 31% Uta Arad, 32% draw, 37% Oțelul — fair odds of 3.23, 3.13 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Oțelul at 37% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

18'
Andrezinho
21'
⚽Andrezinhoassist: N. Pedro
43'
🔁Ne Lopesout: G. Christopoulos
45+3'
⚽Patrickassist: N. Pedro
🔁R. Odadaout: A. Pitu
46'
🔁M. Tzionisout: D. Taroi
58'
🔁M. Comanout: I. Sinani
58'
60'
🔁D. Bordunout: A. Balanica
🔁H. Abdallahout: J. Papeau
68'
68'
A. Balanica
⚽I. Sinaniassist: A. Roman
73'
78'
🔁N. Pedroout: T. Lungu
🔁A. Dorobantuout: A. Padula
78'
78'
🔁A. Ciobanuout: Joao Paulino
⚽J. Papeauassist: D. Pospelov
90+4'
A. Roman
90+6'
D. Alomerovic
90+6'
D. Alomerovic
90+6'

Match stats — Uta Arad vs Oțelul

58%Possession42%
24Shots5
9On target3
7Corners4

Line-ups

Uta Arad 4-2-3-1
  • 33Andrei GorceaG
  • 2Andrei DorobanțuD
  • 15Peter OuanehD
  • 60Dmytro PospelovD
  • 3Din AlomerovicD
  • 5Sota MinoM
  • 16Richard OdadaM
  • 11Hakim AbdallahM
  • 8Roman AlinM
  • 10Marinos TzionisM
  • 9Marius ComanF
Substitutes
  • 80Alexi PituM
  • 20Denis ȚăroiM
  • 7Ismet SinaniF
  • 77Jayson PapeauM
  • 72Andrea PadulaD
  • 96Árpád TordaiG
  • 4Alexandru BengaD
  • 22Robert BădescuD
  • 21Andrei TolceaF
Coach: Adrian Mihalcea
Oțelul 4-3-3
  • 1Cosmin Dur-BozoancăG
  • 5Habib SyllaD
  • 4Manuel LopesD
  • 6Paul IacobD
  • 88KazuD
  • 17Andrei CiobanuM
  • 8João LameiraM
  • 27Pedro NunoM
  • 24Denis BordunF
  • 9Patrick FernandesF
  • 10AndrézinhoF
Substitutes
  • 3Giannis ChristopoulosD
  • 77Alexandru BălănicăF
  • 39Teodor LunguM
  • 7João PaulinoF
  • 12Darius PaharnicuG
  • 13Mario ContraG
  • 16Dan NeicuD
  • 2Milen ZhelevD
  • 20Robert OlteanuM
Coach: Stjepan Tomas

Form going into Uta Arad vs Oțelul

Uta Arad

  • L0-4away to Universitatea Craiova18 July 2026

Oțelul

  • W2-1CFR 1907 Cluj18 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Uta Arad92341315-29
13Oțelul9243912-310

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Uta Arad vs Oțelul

  • 24 July 2026Uta Arad 2–2 OțelulLiga I
  • 17 April 2026Oțelul 1–0 Uta AradLiga I
  • 20 February 2026Oțelul 2–2 Uta AradLiga I
  • 19 October 2025Uta Arad 0–4 OțelulLiga I
  • 16 March 2025Uta Arad 2–0 OțelulLiga I
  • 14 December 2024Oțelul 1–1 Uta AradLiga I

Leading scorers: Uta Arad and Oțelul

Uta Arad

  • M. Coman4 goals

Oțelul

  • Patrick4 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.