24 July 2026, 15:30 UTC

Uta Arad vs Oțelul Liga I prediction & result

Stadionul Francisc von Neumann, Arad
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Uta Arad 2-2 Oțelul.

Before kick-off the model made it 31% Uta Arad, 32% draw, 37% Oțelul — fair odds of 3.23, 3.13 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Oțelul at 37% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

18'
Andrezinho
21'
⚽Andrezinhoassist: N. Pedro
43'
🔁Ne Lopesout: G. Christopoulos
45+3'
⚽Patrickassist: N. Pedro
🔁R. Odadaout: A. Pitu
46'
🔁M. Tzionisout: D. Taroi
58'
🔁M. Comanout: I. Sinani
58'
60'
🔁D. Bordunout: A. Balanica
🔁H. Abdallahout: J. Papeau
68'
68'
A. Balanica
⚽I. Sinaniassist: A. Roman
73'
78'
🔁N. Pedroout: T. Lungu
🔁A. Dorobantuout: A. Padula
78'
78'
🔁A. Ciobanuout: Joao Paulino
⚽J. Papeauassist: D. Pospelov
90+4'
A. Roman
90+6'
D. Alomerovic
90+6'
D. Alomerovic
90+6'

Match stats — Uta Arad vs Oțelul

58%Possession42%
24Shots5
9On target3
7Corners4

Line-ups

Uta Arad 4-2-3-1
  • 33Andrei GorceaG
  • 2Andrei DorobanțuD
  • 15Peter OuanehD
  • 60Dmytro PospelovD
  • 3Din AlomerovicD
  • 5Sota MinoM
  • 16Richard OdadaM
  • 11Hakim AbdallahM
  • 8Roman AlinM
  • 10Marinos TzionisM
  • 9Marius ComanF
Substitutes
  • 80Alexi PituM
  • 20Denis ȚăroiM
  • 7Ismet SinaniF
  • 77Jayson PapeauM
  • 72Andrea PadulaD
  • 96Árpád TordaiG
  • 4Alexandru BengaD
  • 22Robert BădescuD
  • 21Andrei TolceaF
Coach: Adrian Mihalcea
Oțelul 4-3-3
  • 1Cosmin Dur-BozoancăG
  • 5Habib SyllaD
  • 4Manuel LopesD
  • 6Paul IacobD
  • 88KazuD
  • 17Andrei CiobanuM
  • 8João LameiraM
  • 27Pedro NunoM
  • 24Denis BordunF
  • 9Patrick FernandesF
  • 10AndrézinhoF
Substitutes
  • 3Giannis ChristopoulosD
  • 77Alexandru BălănicăF
  • 39Teodor LunguM
  • 7João PaulinoF
  • 12Darius PaharnicuG
  • 13Mario ContraG
  • 16Dan NeicuD
  • 2Milen ZhelevD
  • 20Robert OlteanuM
Coach: Stjepan Tomas

Form going into Uta Arad vs Oțelul

Uta Arad

All competitions we cover

  • L0-4away to Universitatea Craiova18 July 2026

Oțelul

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1CFR 1907 Cluj18 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Uta Arad135351617-118
14Oțelul132561521-611

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Uta Arad vs Oțelul

  • 17 April 2026Oțelul 1–0 Uta AradLiga I
  • 20 February 2026Oțelul 2–2 Uta AradLiga I
  • 19 October 2025Uta Arad 0–4 OțelulLiga I
  • 16 March 2025Uta Arad 2–0 OțelulLiga I
  • 14 December 2024Oțelul 1–1 Uta AradLiga I

Leading scorers: Uta Arad and Oțelul

Uta Arad

GoalsAssists

  • M. Coman50

Oțelul

GoalsAssists

  • Patrick40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Uta Arad and Oțelul drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Oțelul at 37% and given a draw 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Andrezinho 21' for Oțelul, Patrick 45+3' for Oțelul, I. Sinani 73' for Uta Arad, J. Papeau 90+4' for Uta Arad. Sent off: D. Alomerovic (Uta Arad) 90+6'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.