Gangwon FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Gangwon FC 2-0 Bucheon FC 1995.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Gangwon FC, 29% draw, 27% Bucheon FC 1995 — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Gangwon FC at 44%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gangwon FC vs Bucheon FC 1995
Line-ups
- 1Park Cheong-HyoG
- 88Hwang Mun-KiD
- 47Shin Min-HaD
- 23M. TuciD
- 5K. MammarD
- 10Mo Jae-HyeonM
- 6Kim Dong-HyunM
- 4Seo Min-WooM
- 7Kim Dae-WonM
- 96Choe Byeong-ChanF
- 9Kim Gun-HeeF
- 11Goh Young-JunM
- 77A. HalaihalF
- 33Hong ChulD
- 71Kang Seong-YunD
- 41K. SungG
- 8Lee Seung-WonM
- 97Lee You-HyeonM
- 19Park Sang-HyeokF
- 70J. SekidikaF
- 1Kim Hyung-GeunG
- 6Jeong Ho-JinD
- 3Patrick WilliamD
- 20Hong Sung-WookD
- 7ThiaguinhoM
- 8Yoon Bit-GaramM
- 16Kim Sang-JunM
- 26An Tae-HyunM
- 10Rodrigo BassaniF
- 99Gustavo NescauF
- 11Jefferson GalegoF
- 29Baek Dong-GyuD
- 83Jo Seong-JoonF
- 14Kim Jong-WooM
- 13Kim Min-JunM
- 93J. LeeD
- 9Park Jeong-InF
- 4S. Ye-GeonM
- 31Lee Sang-HyeonG
- 71Kim Seung-BinM
Form going into Gangwon FC vs Bucheon FC 1995
Gangwon FC
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Incheon United27 September 2026
- L0-1Jeju United FC20 September 2026
- D2-2away to Gimcheon Sangmu FC13 September 2026
- D1-1Jeonbuk Motors9 September 2026
- W3-0away to FC Anyang6 September 2026
Bucheon FC 1995
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Gimcheon Sangmu FC19 September 2026
- D2-2Jeju United FC12 September 2026
- L1-2away to Incheon United8 September 2026
- L0-5Daejeon Citizen5 September 2026
- D1-1FC Anyang29 August 2026
What these results say
- Gangwon FC failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Bucheon FC 1995 did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Bucheon FC 1995 conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gangwon FC | 35 | 12 | 15 | 8 | 44 | 34 | +10 | 51 |
| 11 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 33 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gangwon FC vs Bucheon FC 1995
- 1 August 2026Gangwon FC 0–3 Bucheon FC 1995K League 1
- 18 March 2026Bucheon FC 1995 0–0 Gangwon FCK League 1
- 5 November 2016Bucheon FC 1995 1–2 Gangwon FCK League 2
- 5 October 2016Gangwon FC 0–1 Bucheon FC 1995K League 2
- 20 August 2016Gangwon FC 0–2 Bucheon FC 1995K League 2
- 10 July 2016Bucheon FC 1995 0–1 Gangwon FCK League 2
Leading scorers: Gangwon FC and Bucheon FC 1995
Gangwon FC
GoalsAssists
- Mo Jae-Hyeon42
- A. Halaihal40
Bucheon FC 1995
GoalsAssists
- Jefferson Galego51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Gangwon FC beat Bucheon FC 1995 2–0. The model had made a win for Gangwon FC its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Kim Dae-won (penalty) 72' for Gangwon FC, Kim Gun-hee 80' for Gangwon FC.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Gangwon FC a 37.2% chance to finish in the top four: 57.0% after a win, 25.1% after a draw, 14.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 57.0%, 19.8 points higher than before the match.
For Bucheon FC 1995 the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 94.2% going in: 83.6% after a win, 96.8% after a draw, 99.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 99.3%, 5.1 points higher than before the match.
Read from our K League 1 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Gangwon FC v Bucheon FC 1995 has moved
First published on 25 Sep at 42% / 30% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 44% / 29% / 27%: the biggest move is Gangwon FC's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Gangwon FC win44%▲ +2
- Draw29%▼ −1
- Bucheon FC 1995 win27%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.