Ghazl El Mehalla vs Zamalek SC Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Ghazl El Mehalla 0-1 Zamalek SC.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Ghazl El Mehalla, 29% draw, 36% Zamalek SC — fair odds of 2.86, 3.45 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Zamalek SC at 36% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Ghazl El Mehalla vs Zamalek SC
Line-ups
- 16Amer AmerG
- 23F. Nechat DjabriD
- 3Ahmed El AashD
- 4Ahmed ShoushaD
- 12Yehia ZakariaD
- 20M. TouréM
- 17Abdel Rahman OsamaM
- 7Mohamed AshrafM
- 9R. ArfaouiM
- 41Kibou SaïdiM
- 63Abdel Kader YehiaF
- 14Abdel Rahman EmadM
- 99Hazem MohamedF
- 8Moaz Abdel SalamM
- 22Ahmed EtmanM
- 30Amr GomaaF
- 66A. RashdanD
- 10Bassam WalidD
- 15Ahmed GamalD
- 1A. El NafarawyG
- 37Al Mahdi SolimanG
- 4Omar GaberD
- 24Mohamed IsmailD
- 28Mahmoud Hamdi El WenshD
- 3M. BentaygD
- 17Mohamed ShehataM
- 12Ahmed RabieM
- 98Oday DabbaghM
- 19Abdalla El SaidM
- 81Chico BanzaM
- 7Hossam AshrafF
- 9Naser MansyF
- 52Mohamed Ibrahim HassanD
- 18A. KaiedF
- 31Ahmed SherifF
- 97A. KhodaryD
- 6Mahmoud GehadM
- 13Ahmed Abou El FotouhD
- 16Mohamed SobhiG
- 20Mostafa El ZenaryD
Form going into Ghazl El Mehalla vs Zamalek SC
Ghazl El Mehalla
Premier League
- L1-3away to National Bank of Egypt7 September 2026
- D0-0Enppi1 September 2026
Zamalek SC
Premier League
- W2-0Abu Qair Semad8 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Ghazl El Mehalla | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 4 |
| 3 | Zamalek SC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Ghazl El Mehalla vs Zamalek SC
- 4 October 2025Zamalek SC 1–1 Ghazl El MehallaPremier League
- 2 December 2024Ghazl El Mehalla 0–4 Zamalek SCPremier League
- 27 June 2023Zamalek SC 2–0 Ghazl El MehallaPremier League
- 24 January 2023Ghazl El Mehalla 2–1 Zamalek SCPremier League
- 16 July 2022Ghazl El Mehalla 0–2 Zamalek SCPremier League
Leading scorers: Ghazl El Mehalla and Zamalek SC
Ghazl El Mehalla
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.
Zamalek SC
GoalsAssists
- Ahmed Sherif30
- Chico Banza21
- Hossam Ashraf20
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Zamalek SC won 1–0 at Ghazl El Mehalla. The model had made a win for Zamalek SC its most likely outcome, at 36%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Ahmed Sherif (penalty) 88' for Zamalek SC.
How the call on Ghazl El Mehalla v Zamalek SC has moved
First published on 2 Sep at 41% / 29% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 35% / 29% / 36%: the biggest move is Ghazl El Mehalla's chance of winning, down 6 points.
- Ghazl El Mehalla win35%▼ −6
- Draw29%=
- Zamalek SC win36%▲ +6
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.