El Gouna FC vs Petrojet Premier League prediction & result
Final score: El Gouna FC 1-2 Petrojet.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% El Gouna FC, 28% draw, 29% Petrojet — fair odds of 2.33, 3.57 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts El Gouna FC at 43% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — El Gouna FC vs Petrojet
Line-ups
- 16Eslam RishaG
- 2Abdel Gawad TaalabD
- 5Saber El ShimiD
- 4Islam Abou SlemmaD
- 3Khaled AhmedD
- 13Omar El GazarM
- 14Nour El SayedM
- 70Ahmed GamalM
- 42M. EgbembaM
- 27Salah ZayedM
- 9Marwan MohsenF
- 1A. MasoudG
- 28M. MetaweaD
- 29T. OjoF
- 30Alaa ShaabanF
- 33David SimukondaM
- 90W. Parfait TeukeuM
- 11Ahmed ZakiF
- 34M. EssamD
- 20Ahmed BelyaD
- 1Omar SalahG
- 22Omar DiyaaD
- 25Barakat HaggagD
- 40Youssef Abdel-TawabD
- 3Islam AbdallahD
- 11Mohamed Ibrahim DodoM
- 17Adham HamedM
- 8Mohamed OsmanM
- 9Badr MoussaM
- 19Mostafa El BadryF
- 15Ahmed BahbahF
- 12A. HamawyM
- 4Mahmoud Shedid KenawiD
- 77Mohamed KhalifaG
- 13F. M. KouablanF
- 21A. LiadiF
- 30G. OkwaraF
- 27K. SekgotaM
- 2A. BahM
- 29Ahmed YassinD
Form going into El Gouna FC vs Petrojet
El Gouna FC
Premier League
- L0-1away to Pyramids FC9 September 2026
- L0-1El Mokawloon2 September 2026
Petrojet
Premier League
- W2-1Al Masry7 September 2026
- L1-2away to Zamalek SC31 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | El Gouna FC | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2 |
| 13 | Petrojet | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: El Gouna FC vs Petrojet
- 28 May 2026Petrojet 1–2 El Gouna FCPremier League
- 6 January 2026El Gouna FC 1–3 PetrojetLeague Cup
- 17 September 2025El Gouna FC 1–1 PetrojetPremier League
- 6 April 2025Petrojet 1–0 El Gouna FCLeague Cup
- 26 December 2024Petrojet 1–0 El Gouna FCPremier League
Leading scorers: El Gouna FC and Petrojet
El Gouna FC
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Petrojet
GoalsAssists
- Mostafa El Badry31
- Ahmed Bahbah31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Petrojet won 2–1 at El Gouna FC. The model had leaned towards a win for El Gouna FC at 43% and given a win for Petrojet 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Mostafa El-Badry 25' for Petrojet, Mohamed Ali Osman 33' for Petrojet, Saber Ashraf El Shimi 90+1' for El Gouna FC.