Konyaspor vs Rizespor Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Konyaspor 0-1 Rizespor.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Konyaspor, 22% draw, 37% Rizespor — fair odds of 2.44, 4.55 and 2.70.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Konyaspor at 41%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Konyaspor vs Rizespor
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13B. GungorduG
- 17Y. AndzouanaD
- 15C. AwaziemD
- 4A. DemirbagD
- 3A. BoslukD
- 5U. YazgiliM
- 9D. TurucM
- 77M. IbrahimogluM
- 7D. GoncalvesM
- 19E. ColleyM
- 11J. MulekaF
- 1D. ErtasG
- 26A. MasuakuD
- 22R. BaniyaD
- 41Da MataD
- 8M. JevtovicM
- 10E. BardhiM
- 99B. KramerF
- 94E. DestanF
- 45E. BarsF
- 75Y. FofanaG
- 54M. PalaD
- 4A. MocsiD
- 93M. SagnanD
- 17Z. ArissD
- 20Q. LaciM
- 14T. AntalyaliM
- 11A. MebudeM
- 8D. VaresanovicM
- 23A. KutucuM
- 9A. SoweF
- 30Z. GorgenG
- 5T. T. SanucD
- 37T. SahinD
- 21S. BakayokoD
- 19U. ErdemD
- 47E. Yilmaz
- 10I. OlawoyinF
- 22M. FayeF
- 99E. BulutF
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Konyaspor | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 8 |
| 11 | Rizespor | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Konyaspor vs Rizespor
- 1 May 2026Rizespor 3–2 KonyasporSüper Lig
- 6 December 2025Konyaspor 1–1 RizesporSüper Lig
- 17 July 2025Konyaspor 2–1 RizesporFriendlies Clubs
- 10 May 2025Konyaspor 2–1 RizesporSüper Lig
- 14 December 2024Rizespor 1–1 KonyasporSüper Lig
Leading scorers: Konyaspor and Rizespor
Konyaspor
No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Rizespor
GoalsAssists
- A. Sowe40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Rizespor won 1–0 at Konyaspor. The model had leaned towards a win for Konyaspor at 41% and given a win for Rizespor 37%. The goal: Q. Laci (penalty) 90' for Rizespor. On expected goals it finished 0.53–1.46.