Konyaspor
vs
Rizespor
Süper Lig prediction
The model makes it 41% Konyaspor, 22% draw, 37% Rizespor — fair odds of 2.44, 4.55 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Konyaspor 1.92, Rizespor 1.80.
Both teams to score: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 72%, under 2.5: 28%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Head-to-head: Konyaspor vs Rizespor
- 1 May 2026Rizespor 3–2 KonyasporSüper Lig
- 6 December 2025Konyaspor 1–1 RizesporSüper Lig
- 17 July 2025Konyaspor 2–1 RizesporFriendlies Clubs
- 10 May 2025Konyaspor 2–1 RizesporSüper Lig
- 14 December 2024Rizespor 1–1 KonyasporSüper Lig
- 3 February 2024Rizespor 0–0 KonyasporSüper Lig
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Konyaspor carry a model rating of 6.49 against 6.6 for Rizespor. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.92 goals for Konyaspor and 1.80 for Rizespor. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Konyaspor rate 0.76 in attack and 1.59 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Rizespor rate 0.81 and 1.34.
That points to 72% for over two and a half goals and 72% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 288 correct results out of 598 settled predictions (48%), with 58 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Konyaspor the highest probability at 41%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.92 expected goals for Konyaspor against 1.8 for Rizespor. Konyaspor's attack/defence rating is 0.76/1.59 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.81/1.34 for Rizespor.