Galatasaray vs Çorum FK Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Galatasaray 2-2 Çorum FK.
Before kick-off the model made it 63% Galatasaray, 20% draw, 17% Çorum FK — fair odds of 1.59, 5.00 and 5.88.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Galatasaray at 63%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Galatasaray vs Çorum FK
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1U. CakirG
- 7R. SallaiD
- 6D. SanchezD
- 42A. BardakciD
- 4I. JakobsD
- 34L. TorreiraM
- 8Gabriel SaraM
- 10L. SaneM
- 11Y. AkgunM
- 53B. YilmazM
- 45V. OsimhenF
- 24J. YilmazG
- 90W. SingoD
- 17E. ElmaliD
- 23K. AyhanD
- 88K. KaratasD
- 91A. UnyayD
- 20I. GundoganM
- 99M. LeminaM
- 18L. UgochukwuM
- 1Marcos FelipeG
- 11G. SazdagiD
- 5PenetraD
- 6H. SmolcicD
- 24A. BorzaD
- 3B. OzdemirM
- 7S. GurlerM
- 8M. KarlsbakkM
- 16FredyM
- 89A. KyziridisM
- 19J. RamirezF
- 18E. ErenturkG
- 4S. SaatciD
- 15A. SengulD
- 30A. IldizM
- 10M. DiomandeM
- 9M. ThiamF
- 22H. BulutD
- 99H. Abdulkareem
- 17E. GurlukF
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 15 | +12 | 28 |
| 9 | Çorum FK | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Galatasaray and Çorum FK
Galatasaray
GoalsAssists
- V. Osimhen93
Çorum FK
GoalsAssists
- C. Ramírez61
- A. Kyziridis44
- C. Ünder42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Galatasaray and Çorum FK drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Galatasaray at 63% and given a draw 20%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: V. Osimhen 53' for Galatasaray, A. Kyziridis 59' for Çorum FK, J. Ramirez 61' for Çorum FK, V. Osimhen 90' for Galatasaray. Sent off: Alexandros Kyziridis (Çorum FK) 70'. On expected goals it finished 2.90–0.61.