Galway United vs Shelbourne Premier Division prediction & result
Final score: Galway United 1-1 Shelbourne.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Galway United, 30% draw, 32% Shelbourne — fair odds of 2.63, 3.33 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All League of Ireland Premier Division predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Galway United at 38% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Galway United vs Shelbourne
Line-ups
- 16Hugo Alberto Pires da CunhaG
- 15O. WilliamsD
- 2A. O'ConnorD
- 12Gianfranco FacchineriD
- 3Connor BarrattM
- 8A. BolgerM
- 10D. HurleyM
- 4J. KeohaneM
- 20L. DevittM
- 11K. TwardekF
- 7S. WalshF
- 17Junior ThiamM
- 28J. MorahanD
- 21D. ConnollyF
- 32Vincent AngeliniG
- 54C. WhittakerM
- 9F. LombotoF
- 30A. KazeemD
- 23F. PierrotF
- 31C. WalshG
- 15S. BoneD
- 16O. CaseyD
- 4K. LedwidgeD
- 25M. MbengM
- 21Jack Henry-FrancisM
- 23K. McInroyM
- 18James Barry NorrisM
- 22S. MooreF
- 11M. OdubekoF
- 27E. CaffreyF
- 36W. JarvisM
- 9S. BoydF
- 10J. MartinF
- 44Daniel RingF
- 14A. CooteM
- 2S. GannonD
- 56J. WunaF
- 13M. JohnsonG
Form going into Galway United vs Shelbourne
Galway United
Premier Division
- L0-1away to Derry City18 September 2026
Shelbourne
Premier Division
- W3-2away to Dundalk18 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Galway United | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 42 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 50 | 47 | +3 | 49 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Galway United vs Shelbourne
- 28 August 2026Galway United 1–1 ShelbournePremier Division
- 29 May 2026Shelbourne 1–1 Galway UnitedPremier Division
- 20 February 2026Shelbourne 1–1 Galway UnitedPremier Division
- 7 September 2025Shelbourne 1–0 Galway UnitedPremier Division
- 27 June 2025Galway United 1–1 ShelbournePremier Division
Leading scorers: Galway United and Shelbourne
Galway United
GoalsAssists
- K. Twardek86
- J. Keohane73
Shelbourne
GoalsAssists
- H. Wood85
- D. Kelly84
- J. Martin82
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Galway United and Shelbourne drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Galway United at 38% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Jimmy Keohane (penalty) 45+5' for Galway United, Ademipo Odubeko 58' for Shelbourne.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.