Amal Tiznit vs Ittihad Tanger Botola Pro prediction & result
Final score: Amal Tiznit 1-3 Ittihad Tanger.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Amal Tiznit, 33% draw, 32% Ittihad Tanger — fair odds of 2.86, 3.03 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Amal Tiznit at 35% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1M. El Jourbaoui
- 6H. Bouhbouh
- 13J. Assouab
- 4K. Holete
- 25A. El Malki
- 14A. Adila
- 92Y. Zraa
- 99M. Goulouss
- 21S. El Azhari
- 16Y. Anouar
- 33Z. Essalhi
- 22Y. Faqir
- 5A. Bifinzi
- 98O. Housni
- 40T. Asstati
- 66M. Tounkara
- 36S. P. Sodiq
- 10A. Ouaarab
- 17Y. Sakhi
- 7O. Fadiz
- 61B. Abyir
- 22Z. Kiani
- 6B. El Ouadghiri
- 4M. Saoud
- 27S. Khorsa
- 15A. Laaziri
- 17A. Maali
- 29B. Sarr
- 20E. El Bellali
- 7Y. Najari
- 31I. Dieng
- 90A. Azmi
- 2R. El Meliani
- 23A. Lamrabat
- 24A. El Wahabi
- 10M. El Arouch
- 16A. Tali
- 18S. Ahannach
- 34M. El Guartit
- 99S. Jarovic
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Amal Tiznit | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 8 | Ittihad Tanger | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
The result against the call
Ittihad Tanger won 3–1 at Amal Tiznit. The model had leaned towards a win for Amal Tiznit at 35% and given a win for Ittihad Tanger 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: S. Khorsa 9' for Ittihad Tanger, S. El Azhari 45+1' for Amal Tiznit, A. Maali 47' for Ittihad Tanger, I. Dieng 55' for Ittihad Tanger.
How the call on Amal Tiznit v Ittihad Tanger has moved
First published on 10 Sep at 36% / 34% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 35% / 33% / 32%: the biggest move is Ittihad Tanger's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Amal Tiznit win35%▼ −1
- Draw33%▼ −1
- Ittihad Tanger win32%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.