Galatasaray
vs
Göztepe
Süper Lig prediction
The model makes it 78% Galatasaray, 12% draw, 10% Göztepe — fair odds of 1.28, 8.33 and 10.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 3-1 (7%).
Expected goals: Galatasaray 3.66, Göztepe 1.37.
Both teams to score: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%, under 2.5: 12%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Galatasaray
- D2-2Çorum FK14 August 2026
Göztepe
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Head-to-head: Galatasaray vs Göztepe
- 8 April 2026Göztepe 1–3 GalatasaraySüper Lig
- 26 October 2025Galatasaray 3–1 GöztepeSüper Lig
- 24 May 2025Göztepe 0–2 GalatasaraySüper Lig
- 4 January 2025Galatasaray 2–1 GöztepeSüper Lig
- 21 February 2022Göztepe 2–3 GalatasaraySüper Lig
- 26 September 2021Galatasaray 2–1 GöztepeSüper Lig
The two sides
Galatasaray carry a model rating of 6.98 against 6.67 for Göztepe. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Galatasaray D.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 3.66 goals for Galatasaray and 1.37 for Göztepe. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Galatasaray rate 1.21 in attack and 0.93 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Göztepe rate 1.05 and 1.60.
That points to 88% for over two and a half goals and 73% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 3-1 (7%), 4-1 (7%), 2-1 (6%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 350 correct results out of 734 settled predictions (48%), with 70 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Galatasaray the highest probability at 78%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 3.66 expected goals for Galatasaray against 1.37 for Göztepe. Galatasaray's attack/defence rating is 1.21/0.93 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.05/1.6 for Göztepe.