14 August 2026, 17:30 UTC

Stellenbosch vs Marumo Gallants Premier Soccer League prediction & result

Danie Craven Stadium, Stellenbosch
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Stellenbosch 3-1 Marumo Gallants.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Stellenbosch, 31% draw, 24% Marumo Gallants — fair odds of 2.22, 3.23 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Stellenbosch at 45%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Stellenbosch99%Draw1%Marumo Gallants0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Q. Plaatjiesassist: T. Mthethwa
13'
⚽Q. Plaatjiesassist: Daniels
28'
44'
Mbhazima Rikhotso
46'
🔁S. Sihlaliout: S. Sikhosana
46'
🔁D. T. Lukheleout: K. Ncube
46'
🔁S. Mbheleout: E. Manaka
⚽Q. Plaatjiesassist: Daniels
54'
🔁Danielsout: C. Butsaka
57'
🔁Q. Plaatjiesout: Q. Sibande
67'
69'
🔁B. Mabuzaout: M. Mpambaniso
Chumani Thembile Butsaka
73'
Gopolang Taunyane
78'
79'
🔁S. Ntiya-Ntiyaout: Y. Madiba
81'
⚽T. Dhludhlu
82'
Diala Manaka
🔁L. Matlouout: G. Palace
89'
90+5'
Sibusiso Ncube
🔁S. Kwayibaout: B. Grobler
90'

Match stats — Stellenbosch vs Marumo Gallants

41%Possession59%
10Shots17
4On target4
4Corners6
1.57xG0.95

Goals against chances

Stellenbosch3 from 1.57 xGmore than the chances were worth
Marumo Gallants1 from 0.95 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Stellenbosch 3-4-2-1
  • 17S. StephensG
  • 21G. TaunyanaD
  • 26S. NkwaliD
  • 4L. VenaD
  • 37T. LebitsoM
  • 6T. MthethwaM
  • 28L. MatlouM
  • 27T. MashegoM
  • 32DanielsF
  • 11Q. PlaatjiesF
  • 14S. KwayibaF
Substitutes
  • 1N. GarrowG
  • 22Q. SibandeD
  • 19G. PalaceM
  • 33C. ButsakaM
  • 8V. AndrieasM
  • 2K. Ramushu
  • 67B. GroblerF
  • 10A. du PreezF
  • 24O. MbembeM
Coach: Gavin Hunt
Marumo Gallants 4-1-3-2
  • 16K. MlamboG
  • 40D. T. LukheleD
  • 22M. RikhotsoD
  • 44M. SikakaneD
  • 3S. Ntiya-NtiyaD
  • 8S. MbheleM
  • 11T. DhludhluM
  • 4B. MabuzaM
  • 18M. NdlovuM
  • 38S. SihlaliF
  • 15N. NdlondloF
Substitutes
  • 30E. LakoG
  • 35S. SikhosanaM
  • 13K. NcubeM
  • 24Y. MadibaM
  • 5E. ManakaF
  • 10M. MpambanisoM
  • 29L. ButtonM
Coach: Jamil Benouahi

Form going into Stellenbosch vs Marumo Gallants

Stellenbosch

All competitions we cover

  • D3-3away to Polokwane City11 August 2026

Marumo Gallants

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0Kruger United11 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premier Soccer League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Stellenbosch9243910-110
15Marumo Gallants9126917-85

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Stellenbosch vs Marumo Gallants

  • 23 May 2026Marumo Gallants 0–0 StellenboschPremier Soccer League
  • 29 October 2025Marumo Gallants 4–0 StellenboschLeague Cup
  • 26 August 2025Stellenbosch 1–0 Marumo GallantsPremier Soccer League
  • 4 March 2025Marumo Gallants 0–1 StellenboschPremier Soccer League
  • 3 November 2024Marumo Gallants 1–0 StellenboschLeague Cup
  • 31 October 2024Stellenbosch 1–0 Marumo GallantsPremier Soccer League

Leading scorers: Stellenbosch and Marumo Gallants

Stellenbosch

GoalsAssists

  • Q. Plaatjies30

Marumo Gallants

GoalsAssists

  • M. Ndlovu21

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Stellenbosch beat Marumo Gallants 3–1. The model had made a win for Stellenbosch its most likely outcome, at 45%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Q. Plaatjies 13' for Stellenbosch, Q. Plaatjies 28' for Stellenbosch, Q. Plaatjies 54' for Stellenbosch, T. Dhludhlu 81' for Marumo Gallants. On expected goals it finished 1.57–0.95.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.