31 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

VPS vs Lahti Veikkausliiga prediction & result

Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa
Full time0 – 1

Final score: VPS 0-1 Lahti.

Before kick-off the model made it 34% VPS, 30% draw, 36% Lahti — fair odds of 2.94, 3.33 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Lahti at 36% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 2,313 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

VPS0%Draw4%Lahti96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

16'
⚽A. Lindholmassist: Martim Augusto
🔁A. Raisanenout: X. Odhiambo
46'
🔁K. Kouassivi-Benissanout: J. Vahtera
67'
🔁S. Lindholmout: H. Salomaa
67'
74'
🔁E. Anderssonout: O. Koskinen
🔁P. Limaout: D. Terrnava
79'
83'
🔁M. Sarrout: J. Ojanen
84'
Armend Kabashi
89'
Aaron Lindholm

Line-ups

VPS
  • 41M. Jalloh
  • 23M. Niemi
  • 6E. Okereke
  • 19M. Haukioja
  • 13O. Ogunniyi
  • 8P. Lima
  • 2L. Mane
  • 7J. Turfkruier
  • 34A. Raisanen
  • 27K. Kouassivi-Benissan
  • 14S. Lindholm
Substitutes
  • 12L. Vayrynen
  • 21A. Adu-Boahen
  • 3R. Simpson
  • 26R. Forsbacka
  • 30J. Vahtera
  • 17D. Terrnava
  • 25H. Salomaa
  • 9C. Holmelund
  • 20X. Odhiambo
Coach: Jussi Nuorela
Lahti
  • 31O. Maukonen
  • 27R. Yapi
  • 28A. Kabashi
  • 5N. Gianini Dantas
  • 6V. Vehkonen
  • 8C. Montiel
  • 18Y. Cassubie
  • 14E. Andersson
  • 77M. Sarr
  • 9A. Lindholm
  • 11Martim Augusto
Substitutes
  • 12A. Hakala
  • 25T. Inkinen
  • 10O. Koskinen
  • 20J. Ojanen
  • 17A. Belabid
  • 41A. Paalanen
Coach: Goncalo Pereira

Form going into VPS vs Lahti

VPS

  • W1-0away to Ilves22 August 2026

Lahti

  • W2-1away to SJK21 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Veikkausliiga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5VPS2510693025+536
1Lahti2510693024+636

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: VPS vs Lahti

  • 18 May 2026Lahti 1–1 VPSVeikkausliiga
  • 25 August 2024Lahti 0–0 VPSVeikkausliiga
  • 3 May 2024VPS 3–0 LahtiVeikkausliiga
  • 18 August 2023Lahti 0–2 VPSVeikkausliiga
  • 5 April 2023VPS 0–0 LahtiVeikkausliiga
  • 28 September 2022Lahti 0–2 VPSVeikkausliiga

Leading scorers: VPS and Lahti

VPS

  • L. Smyth5 goals

Lahti

  • Martim Ferreira4 goals1 assist

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.