AC Oulu vs SJK Veikkausliiga prediction & result
Final score: AC Oulu 0-0 SJK.
Before kick-off the model made it 52% AC Oulu, 24% draw, 24% SJK — fair odds of 1.92, 4.17 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Veikkausliiga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts AC Oulu at 52% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 691 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 53.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 13M. SantosG
- 16O. KemppainenD
- 5M. PitkanenD
- 66J. PirinenD
- 18A. CassamaM
- 21I. MendolinM
- 6J. PaananenM
- 14N. JokelainenM
- 7R. KarjalainenM
- 22T. KaukuaM
- 9R. RiskiF
- 99N. SchulzG
- 29S. SilanderD
- 2S. SipolaD
- 3A. LietsaD
- 8M. OjalaM
- 10C. TrianaF
- 27E. KallioM
- 11L. GhezaliM
- 24C. S. Thomas
- 1R. PaunioG
- 26J. MoisioD
- 2F. CostantiniD
- 5O. VaistoD
- 28K. NwanegeD
- 15E. MommoD
- 31E. OnuohaM
- 8A. BostromM
- 48A. TraoreM
- 14Murilo HenriqueM
- 7KelwinF
- 35J. ViitalaG
- 49E. UdomD
- 19E. MastokangasM
- 22L. VesterbackaM
- 42Caio Araujo
- 27A. VelliosF
- 9J. StrengF
- 51A. CisseF
- 43S. BagayogoD
Form going into AC Oulu vs SJK
AC Oulu
- W1-0away to FF Jaro22 August 2026
SJK
- L1-2Lahti21 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Veikkausliiga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | AC Oulu | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 34 |
| 4 | SJK | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 24 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: AC Oulu vs SJK
- 23 May 2026SJK 0–1 AC OuluVeikkausliiga
- 31 January 2026AC Oulu 3–0 SJKLeague Cup
- 24 June 2025AC Oulu 2–0 SJKSuomen Cup
- 31 May 2025AC Oulu 2–2 SJKVeikkausliiga
- 23 April 2025SJK 3–1 AC OuluVeikkausliiga
- 26 February 2025SJK 1–1 AC OuluLeague Cup
Leading scorers: AC Oulu and SJK
AC Oulu
- J. Körkkö2 goals2 assists
- E. Kallio2 goals
SJK
- E. Mastokangas2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.