Fenerbahçe vs Eyüpspor Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Fenerbahçe 8-0 Eyüpspor.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Fenerbahçe, 28% draw, 23% Eyüpspor — fair odds of 2.04, 3.57 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Fenerbahçe at 49% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 8 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Fenerbahçe vs Eyüpspor
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 31EdersonG
- 27Nélson SemedoD
- 37Milan ŠkriniarD
- 15Nathan AkéD
- 3Archie BrownD
- 91N'Golo KantéM
- 6Mattéo GuendouziM
- 11Mason GreenwoodM
- 17İrfan Can KahveciM
- 7Kerem AktürkoğluM
- 19Vedat MuriqiF
- 5İsmail YüksekM
- 9Romelu LukakuF
- 21Kojo Peprah OppongD
- 70Oğuz AydınF
- 22Levent MercanD
- 34Mert GünokG
- 14Yiğit Efe DemirD
- 28Bartuğ ElmazM
- 10Marco AsensioM
- 31Horațiu MoldovanG
- 7Talha ÜlvanD
- 33Zak JulesD
- 4Seyfettin Anıl YaşarD
- 21Simone GiordanoD
- 88Chandrel MassangaM
- 98Bilal BoutobbaM
- 8David CostaM
- 15Charles-Andre Raux YaoM
- 77Konrad MichalakM
- 29Ahmed AbdullahiF
- 1Emre BilginG
- 28Taşkın IlterM
- 9Yusuf BarasıF
- 84Christ SadiaM
- 18Hamza AkmanM
- 3Arda YavuzD
- 27Yiğit DemirD
- 42Berhan SatliD
- 70Mete DemirF
Form going into Fenerbahçe vs Eyüpspor
Fenerbahçe
Süper Lig
- D0-0away to Gaziantep FK14 September 2026
Eyüpspor
Süper Lig
- L0-2Rizespor12 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Fenerbahçe | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 8 | +15 | 16 |
| 18 | Eyüpspor | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 23 | -21 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Fenerbahçe vs Eyüpspor
- 17 May 2026Fenerbahçe 3–3 EyüpsporSüper Lig
- 20 December 2025Eyüpspor 0–3 FenerbahçeSüper Lig
- 18 May 2025Fenerbahçe 2–1 EyüpsporSüper Lig
- 20 December 2024Eyüpspor 1–1 FenerbahçeSüper Lig
Leading scorers: Fenerbahçe and Eyüpspor
Fenerbahçe
GoalsAssists
- V. Muriqi71
- M. Greenwood42
- İ. Kahveci33
Eyüpspor
No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Fenerbahçe beat Eyüpspor 8–0. The model had made a win for Fenerbahçe its most likely outcome, at 49%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: M. Greenwood (penalty) 4' for Fenerbahçe, V. Muriqi 7' for Fenerbahçe, V. Muriqi 21' for Fenerbahçe, M. Guendouzi 38' for Fenerbahçe, I. Kahveci 45+1' for Fenerbahçe, V. Muriqi 47' for Fenerbahçe, V. Muriqi 55' for Fenerbahçe, M. Greenwood 80' for Fenerbahçe. On expected goals it finished 5.06–0.79.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.