1 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

FC Zurich vs Servette FC Super League prediction & result

Letzigrund Stadion
Full time2 1

Final score: FC Zurich 2-1 Servette FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 20% FC Zurich, 24% draw, 56% Servette FC — fair odds of 5.00, 4.17 and 1.79. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Servette FC at 56% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Zurich99%Draw1%Servette FC0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

34'
Q. Maceiras
V. Berisha
35'
46'
🔁L. Njohout: S. Mraz
L. Comenencia
47'
S. Hodza
50'
V. Berisha
59'
🔁L. Schodlerout: M. Reichmuth
62'
🔁N. Volkenout: S. Walker
62'
69'
🔁Pedro Naressiout: D. Douline
69'
🔁Q. Maceirasout: H. Mendes
77'
D. Douline
78'
🔁M. Lambourdeout: T. Ouattara
🔁L. Comenenciaout: M. Bangoura
78'
🔁U. Emmanuelout: K. Spadanuda
78'
M. Bangouraassist: P. P. Keny
79'
84'
🔁M. Stevanovicout: T. Nunez
90+1'
T. Ouattaraassist: H. Mendes
🔁B. Krasniqiout: A. Hack
90+3'

Match stats — FC Zurich vs Servette FC

44%Possession56%
9Shots16
4On target6
4Corners6
1.48xG1.53

Goals against chances

FC Zurich2 from 1.48 xGmore than the chances were worth
Servette FC1 from 1.53 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

FC Zurich 4-1-4-1
  • 13Heinz LindnerG
  • 3Selmin HodzaD
  • 2Lindrit KamberiD
  • 27Ilan SauterD
  • 43Neil VolkenD
  • 21Leandro SchödlerM
  • 7Bledian KrasniqiM
  • 8Livano ComenenciaM
  • 23Valon BerishaM
  • 11Umeh EmmanuelM
  • 19Philippe KenyF
Substitutes
  • 44Sebastian WalkerD
  • 38Miguel ReichmuthM
  • 60Tyrese PinthusG
  • 42Alexander HackD
  • 17Kevin SpadanudaM
  • 14Nevio Di GiustoM
  • 18Mohamed BangouraM
  • 49Din RamicF
  • 9Juan José PereaF
Coach: Marcel Koller
Servette FC 4-2-3-1
  • 1Edvinas GertmonasG
  • 23Quentin MaceirasD
  • 4Steve RouillerD
  • 15Marco BurchD
  • 18Bradley MazikouD
  • 6Pedro NaressiM
  • 8Timothé CognatM
  • 22Mathis LambourdeM
  • 9Miroslav StevanovićM
  • 14Lilian NjohM
  • 97Florian AyéF
Substitutes
  • 90Samuel MrázF
  • 17Houboulang MendesD
  • 28David DoulineM
  • 78Léo BessonG
  • 34Teo AllixD
  • 11Lamine FombaM
  • 35Alonzo VincentM
  • 41Tristan NunezF
  • 77Tiemoko OuattaraF
Coach: Jocelyn Gourvennec

Form going into FC Zurich vs Servette FC

FC Zurich

  • L1-2away to FC St. Gallen26 July 2026

Servette FC

  • L0-1FC Basel 189325 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6FC Zurich83141319-610
9Servette FC721458-37

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Zurich vs Servette FC

  • 1 August 2026FC Zurich 2–1 Servette FCSuper League
  • 16 May 2026FC Zurich 0–2 Servette FCSuper League
  • 7 March 2026Servette FC 2–1 FC ZurichSuper League
  • 18 January 2026Servette FC 1–1 FC ZurichSuper League
  • 13 September 2025FC Zurich 2–1 Servette FCSuper League
  • 9 March 2025FC Zurich 1–3 Servette FCSuper League

Leading scorers: FC Zurich and Servette FC

FC Zurich

  • U. Emmanuel4 goals2 assists

Servette FC

No player in Super League's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.