FC Zurich vs Servette FC Super League prediction & result
Final score: FC Zurich 2-1 Servette FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 20% FC Zurich, 24% draw, 56% Servette FC — fair odds of 5.00, 4.17 and 1.79. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Swiss Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Servette FC at 56% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Zurich vs Servette FC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13Heinz LindnerG
- 3Selmin HodzaD
- 2Lindrit KamberiD
- 27Ilan SauterD
- 43Neil VolkenD
- 21Leandro SchödlerM
- 7Bledian KrasniqiM
- 8Livano ComenenciaM
- 23Valon BerishaM
- 11Umeh EmmanuelM
- 19Philippe KenyF
- 44Sebastian WalkerD
- 38Miguel ReichmuthM
- 60Tyrese PinthusG
- 42Alexander HackD
- 17Kevin SpadanudaM
- 14Nevio Di GiustoM
- 18Mohamed BangouraM
- 49Din RamicF
- 9Juan José PereaF
- 1Edvinas GertmonasG
- 23Quentin MaceirasD
- 4Steve RouillerD
- 15Marco BurchD
- 18Bradley MazikouD
- 6Pedro NaressiM
- 8Timothé CognatM
- 22Mathis LambourdeM
- 9Miroslav StevanovićM
- 14Lilian NjohM
- 97Florian AyéF
- 90Samuel MrázF
- 17Houboulang MendesD
- 28David DoulineM
- 78Léo BessonG
- 34Teo AllixD
- 11Lamine FombaM
- 35Alonzo VincentM
- 41Tristan NunezF
- 77Tiemoko OuattaraF
Form going into FC Zurich vs Servette FC
FC Zurich
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to FC St. Gallen26 July 2026
Servette FC
All competitions we cover
- L0-1FC Basel 189325 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Zurich | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 |
| 5 | Servette FC | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Zurich vs Servette FC
- 16 May 2026FC Zurich 0–2 Servette FCSuper League
- 7 March 2026Servette FC 2–1 FC ZurichSuper League
- 18 January 2026Servette FC 1–1 FC ZurichSuper League
- 13 September 2025FC Zurich 2–1 Servette FCSuper League
- 9 March 2025FC Zurich 1–3 Servette FCSuper League
Leading scorers: FC Zurich and Servette FC
FC Zurich
GoalsAssists
- P. Keny51
- U. Emmanuel43
Servette FC
GoalsAssists
- K. Mutandwa50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Zurich beat Servette FC 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Servette FC at 56% and given a win for FC Zurich 20%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: V. Berisha 35' for FC Zurich, M. Bangoura 79' for FC Zurich, T. Ouattara 90+1' for Servette FC. On expected goals it finished 1.48–1.53.